NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Cavaliers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21501236154e64be1e5c24a202bedada238b8d4d159abe574c0aa63d79d385c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Raptors, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,651,468
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,543,681
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,651,468 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 567 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3987…259ebacked Cavaliers | 65c | 484,589$316,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316,036.03 | 80 | 22.5%18 W · 62 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Raptors | 36c | 297,171$106,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190,189.44 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea34…0a92backed Raptors | 37c | 243,243$89,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153,444.84 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Raptors | 35c | 96,575$33,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,774.04 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Raptors | 32c | 55,076$17,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,572 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161e…6ef0backed Raptors | 68c | 37,124$25,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,966.46 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Raptors | 37c | 30,976$11,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,605.4 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c8…fed1backed Raptors | 35c | 30,000$10,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,400 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x220c…43c8backed Cavaliers | 64c | 30,000$19,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,199.99 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Raptors | 48c | 26,948$12,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,056.89 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Raptors | 34c | 26,384$8,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,408.53 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…4fdcbacked Raptors | 29c | 25,646$7,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,086.16 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked Raptors | 30c | 21,303$6,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,912.1 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Raptors | 36c | 20,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,800 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Raptors | 29c | 20,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,199.99 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Raptors | 39c | 17,840$7,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,799.86 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff36…e757backed Raptors | 30c | 17,000$5,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,893.39 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Cavaliers | 64c | 16,819$10,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,813.93 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Raptors | 40c | 13,972$5,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,378.42 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Raptors | 36c | 13,884$4,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,885.46 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a8…d34dbacked Raptors | 36c | 13,882$4,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,884.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Cavaliers | 65c | 12,127$7,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,929.55 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Cavaliers | 59c | 11,470$6,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,785.34 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Raptors | 35c | 10,547$3,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,855.75 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Raptors | 35c | 10,035$3,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,484.8 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…bba6backed Cavaliers | 18c | 10,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 125 | 29.6%37 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Raptors | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Cavaliers | 64c | 9,792$6,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,231.64 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Raptors | 29c | 9,765$2,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,937.58 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffa…79d1backed Raptors | 11c | 9,500$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,455 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +809.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raptors | 44c | 9,127$3,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,130.82 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cavaliers | 63c | 9,000$5,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,690 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Raptors | 56c | 7,859$4,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,428.54 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Raptors | 37c | 7,617$2,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,798.94 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc568…1a8cbacked Raptors | 37c | 7,000$2,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,410 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Raptors | 35c | 6,573$2,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,272.39 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Raptors | 34c | 6,506$2,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,281.02 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Cavaliers | 54c | 6,482$3,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,509.19 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…f932backed Raptors | 40c | 6,108$2,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,659.17 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Raptors | 32c | 5,702$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,901.83 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Cavaliers | 65c | 5,500$3,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,557.5 | 309 | 47.6%147 W · 162 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…47c4backed Cavaliers | 54c | 5,486$2,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,968.96 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Raptors | 37c | 5,405$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,405.2 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Raptors | 36c | 4,820$1,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,107.3 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Raptors | 31c | 4,573$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,132.49 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cavaliers | 57c | 4,332$2,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,448.85 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Cavaliers | 50c | 4,243$2,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,102.86 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Cavaliers | 72c | 4,190$3,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,002 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Cavaliers | 53c | 3,989$2,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,130.96 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…d45dbacked Cavaliers | 71c | 3,963$2,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,813.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Raptors | 30c | 3,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.98 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Raptors | 37c | 3,400$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,142 | 313 | 47%147 W · 166 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cavaliers | 57c | 3,166$1,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,805.43 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Raptors | 27c | 3,160$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,306.99 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93db…1773backed Cavaliers | 72c | 3,100$2,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,231.98 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Raptors | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Raptors | 30c | 3,000$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,089.99 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Cavaliers | 71c | 2,965$2,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,103.37 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ad…4bc9backed Raptors | 71c | 2,891$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cavaliers | 67c | 2,861$1,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,915.45 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Cavaliers | 70c | 2,857$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9794…1d5fbacked Cavaliers | 73c | 2,740$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeef4…32a1backed Cavaliers | 62c | 2,500$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Raptors | 46c | 2,477$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.39 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…58e4backed Cavaliers | 65c | 2,395$1,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,556.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Raptors | 33c | 2,266$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510.35 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Raptors | 38c | 2,250$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Cavaliers | 65c | 2,246$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.63 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x087a…a510backed Raptors | 28c | 2,143$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.86 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x268c…a03abacked Cavaliers | 47c | 2,129$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.63 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Cavaliers | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfc…563ebacked Raptors | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…cd2fbacked Raptors | 29c | 1,982$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2c…3770backed Raptors | 29c | 1,981$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Raptors | 32c | 1,907$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.1 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb26a…48dabacked Cavaliers | 48c | 1,900$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Cavaliers | 1c | 1,777$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a4…0ea6backed Raptors | 36c | 1,610$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.05 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e58…f73bbacked Raptors | 37c | 1,600$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x280c…9068backed Raptors | 45c | 1,540$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +120%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Cavaliers | 65c | 1,540$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.56 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | -8.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Cavaliers | 32c | 1,533$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.87 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Cavaliers | 67c | 1,485$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.74 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2158…b7efbacked Cavaliers | 71c | 1,469$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x942c…fb3abacked Cavaliers | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86a3…33dbbacked Raptors | 36c | 1,375$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Raptors | 27c | 1,370$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.94 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Raptors | 36c | 1,348$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.59 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Cavaliers | 73c | 1,320$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.6 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed Cavaliers | 69c | 1,307$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.82 | 130 | 42.3%55 W · 75 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe57f…6147backed Cavaliers | 73c | 1,300$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11c5…f12dbacked Raptors | 27c | 1,300$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Cavaliers | 1c | 1,120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81cc…26b9backed Raptors | 28c | 1,100$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Raptors | 30c | 1,097$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.72 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd5…7236backed Cavaliers | 48c | 1,037$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.05 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Cavaliers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Raptors | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Cavaliers | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Raptors | 27c | 999.97$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.16 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raptors vs. Cavaliersthis page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Raptors won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 236.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5Under won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.