NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c9b099c780d9617f7b5f0d526acf99d9cc0f01077fc3ae1a6e4b097c6c03769
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,692
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,644
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,692 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Under | 50c | 3,578$1,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,803.54 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 3,318$1,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,623.17 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Over | 51c | 3,000$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 53c | 2,350$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.56 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x114d…d8e3backed Under | 48c | 2,167$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.84 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…1a3bbacked Over | 52c | 2,127$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe595…3ce7backed Over | 52c | 2,099$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…55a4backed Under | 48c | 2,075$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20c3…060dbacked Over | 52c | 1,783$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4080…e6cebacked Over | 52c | 1,320$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d6…b0f2backed Over | 51c | 1,233$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc01…8397backed Under | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc7…53a3backed Over | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…36e8backed Under | 49c | 1,078$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d5…0cafbacked Over | 49c | 960$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x309c…c79dbacked Under | 48c | 912$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…b1debacked Under | 48c | 900$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x331d…c284backed Under | 48c | 900$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99da…0c31backed Under | 48c | 865$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…88efbacked Under | 51c | 860$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa62a…8145backed Under | 49c | 844$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfd…3b0cbacked Under | 48c | 821$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…8275backed Over | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d9b…c49fbacked Over | 52c | 788$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…9ad7backed Under | 51c | 785$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.65 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf103…1b74backed Under | 51c | 775$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…821cbacked Under | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8025…31dcbacked Over | 49c | 760$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…6793backed Over | 52c | 630$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x087a…a510backed Over | 53c | 567.98$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…3d8abacked Under | 48c | 534$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85eb…53d4backed Under | 48c | 515$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb54…ccf3backed Over | 52c | 512$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd22…eaadbacked Over | 53c | 492.38$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.96 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa64b…3142backed Under | 48c | 441$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a3…ad63backed Over | 52c | 401$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bff…26c7backed Over | 52c | 320$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…384dbacked Under | 48c | 315$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…bd57backed Under | 48c | 315$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 49c | 269$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.81 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…58a2backed Under | 48c | 256$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5048…dbc3backed Over | 52c | 240$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 48c | 226.1$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.92 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Under | 49c | 216.15$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x784f…5caabacked Over | 52c | 210$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe792…4d26backed Over | 52c | 205$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd20c…e261backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 52c | 191.76$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.01 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c42…b706backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf848…9b7cbacked Over | 52c | 183$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8240…faa1backed Under | 48c | 175$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 49c | 169.87$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.06 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2791…2791backed Under | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Over | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f10…854fbacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…03ffbacked Under | 48c | 95$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…0407backed Under | 53c | 94.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.06 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Under | 52c | 90$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 47c | 85.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.35 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddd…19c2backed Over | 52c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbee4…af0abacked Over | 52c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87b5…fb1fbacked Over | 52c | 68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x517f…a9cfbacked Over | 52c | 57.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59ea…cd0abacked Under | 48c | 57.95$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e44…295cbacked Under | 48c | 53.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986d…2eb0backed Over | 52c | 53.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dff…bc36backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f7…76cdbacked Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86d6…e815backed Under | 49c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f45…1025backed Over | 51c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa871…5841backed Over | 51c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Raptors won
- Raptors vs. CavaliersRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 236.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5Under won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.