La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4434bd2753c24257ab8a7b763b967e9310cdb4ad26a408f6eea370920f35faec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $623,131
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $683,399
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $623,131 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 464 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 31c | 111,790$34,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,541.37 | 90 | 28.9%26 W · 64 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 31c | 69,896$21,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,896.2 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked No | 30c | 58,000$17,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,400.06 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 68c | 48,625$33,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,560.05 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 70c | 35,472$24,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,669.64 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 70c | 34,393$24,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,317.78 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 29c | 27,823$8,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,129.45 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes | 70c | 25,000$17,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,499.89 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 69cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 30c | 24,763$7,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,548.21 | 88 | 28.4%25 W · 63 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 30c | 21,000$6,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,349.99 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 27c | 20,025$5,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,381.08 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 70c | 20,005$14,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,001.5 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 31c | 14,814$4,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,662.35 | 79 | 22.8%18 W · 61 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x434e…a307backed Yes | 70c | 14,284$9,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,285.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Yes | 69c | 13,180$9,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,098.15 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf661…d170backed No | 31c | 12,000$3,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,720 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcde3…002dbacked Yes | 74c | 11,417$8,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,980.99 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd16a…7691backed No | 8c | 10,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 69c | 10,000$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 73c | 9,967$7,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,690.71 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Yes | 71c | 9,823$6,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,848.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 69c | 9,525$6,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,948 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 31c | 7,962$2,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,498 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Yes | 70c | 7,143$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,142.86 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbb…05a8backed Yes | 71c | 7,024$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,024.14 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Yes | 69c | 7,000$4,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,170 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x967d…ef6abacked Yes | 70c | 6,679$4,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,003.57 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 68cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…6f4bbacked No | 30c | 6,499$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1d…e3c3backed Yes | 70c | 5,714$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,714.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 71c | 5,000$3,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 77c | 4,976$3,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.25 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 30c | 4,900$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.98 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x763f…81e9backed Yes | 73c | 4,088$2,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ed…2e83backed Yes | 69c | 3,797$2,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 26c | 3,769$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.57 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 71c | 3,763$2,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.2 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked No | 30c | 3,700$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 25c | 3,533$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.28 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 70c | 3,357$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.14 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed No | 31c | 3,085$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.4 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c3…99c4backed Yes | 68c | 2,941$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 77c | 2,912$2,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.13 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed No | 33c | 2,887$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.87 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked No | 30c | 2,880$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 70c | 2,857$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.14 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked Yes | 71c | 2,817$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.9 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…3378backed No | 31c | 2,765$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d7…c403backed Yes | 69c | 2,736$1,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 69c | 2,719$1,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.59 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…f0e7backed Yes | 70c | 2,571$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked No | 31c | 2,472$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 66c | 2,445$1,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.89 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 29c | 2,328$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.53 | 95 | 28.4%27 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 32c | 2,318$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.79 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e957backed Yes | 70c | 2,142$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.73 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e26…4f76backed Yes | 69c | 2,029$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.99 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a0…dab5backed No | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +38%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 34c | 1,950$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.02 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 31c | 1,949$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 30c | 1,904$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.19 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…153ebacked No | 34c | 1,893$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c2…4074backed No | 31c | 1,885$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.35 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 69c | 1,820$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.2 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1214…422ebacked No | 32c | 1,817$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa147…5093backed Yes | 70c | 1,816$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e6…f489backed No | 32c | 1,812$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6372…dbebbacked Yes | 69c | 1,812$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…4d8abacked Yes | 73c | 1,804$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…d6aebacked Yes | 70c | 1,785$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.62 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd470…783ebacked No | 33c | 1,774$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.42 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 67c | 1,668$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.9 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fec…5b6fbacked No | 31c | 1,597$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaec4…fa49backed Yes | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.59 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…4c44backed Yes | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511a…9745backed Yes | 70c | 1,439$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.79 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 70cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x883f…aad2backed Yes | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 70c | 1,413$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.86 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 71c | 1,411$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.27 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Yes | 71c | 1,410$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Yes | 74c | 1,335$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.01 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 69c | 1,329$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.87 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked No | 28c | 1,293$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.95 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc352…51e3backed No | 32c | 1,284$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 68c | 1,251$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.32 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 31c | 1,250$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.5 | 155 | 16.1%25 W · 130 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Yes | 72c | 1,239$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.07 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 31c | 1,236$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.27 | 77 | 7.8%6 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…fabbbacked Yes | 74c | 1,200$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.98 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fef…5840backed Yes | 70c | 1,143$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.86 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9a…5b99backed Yes | 75c | 1,109$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 68c | 1,103$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.84 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Yes | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf70c…72c1backed No | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Yes | 73c | 958.9$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 70c | 942.86$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.86 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-04?this page
- Will Real Madrid vs. Villarreal end in a draw?No won
- Will Villarreal win on 2025-10-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.