TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd19e…fabb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
90
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: CS2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST2630.8%8 W · 18 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nets vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$28.08
Wizards vs. Spursbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$228.47
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$59.16
Grizzlies vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,220Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$1,220
Wizards vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$731Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$730.88
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+376.2%+$221.2
Knicks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$381.72
Pacers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,818Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+44.9%+$816.85
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$266.7
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$751Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+101.8%+$764.11
Hornets vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+122.2%+$212.3
Grizzlies vs. Spursbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$61.8
Bulls vs. Nuggetsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+809.1%+$178.89
Magic vs. Rocketsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$42.72
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$51.29
Raptors vs. Hawksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+127.3%+$300.72
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Clippers vs. Jazzbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,191Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,191
Timberwolves vs. Bullsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Rockets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$98.5
Pelicans vs. Magicbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$283.5
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$315.6
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$85.27
Raptors vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+62.6%+$38.49
Grizzlies vs. Hornetsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+39.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyesbacked Ulberg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$314.13
UFC Fight Night: Thicknesse vs. Musasabacked Musasa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$513Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$513
Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silvabacked Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$594Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$594
Noche UFC: Gastelum vs. Stoltzfusbacked Gastelum · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$17
Noche UFC: Hernandez vs. Ferreirabacked Ferreira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$343Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$343
Noche UFC: Aguilar vs. Gurulebacked Gurule · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.57
Noche UFC: Rendon vs. Pereirabacked Rendon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$575.4
Guarascio vs. Asplundbacked Asplund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+150%+$276.82
Dyer vs. Forobacked Foro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$327Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$533.28
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralhobacked Borralho · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,155Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,154.65
UFC Fight Night: Saint Denis vs. Ruffy backed Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$650
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhangbacked Walker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+334.8%+$840.84
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Sterlingbacked Sterling · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,020Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+37.1%+$378.46
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Cortes-Acostabacked Pavlovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$157.08
UFC Fight Night: Satybaldiev vs. Nurgozhaybacked Nurgozhay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.96
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaevbacked Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$668Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$329.01
All 16 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Falcons vs. 49ersbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$385.4
Saints vs. Bearsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$186.14
49ers vs. Buccaneersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$96.35
Ravens vs. Chiefsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$114
Chargers vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$551Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$1,568.66
Cardinals vs. 49ersbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.36
Broncos vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$41.99
Commanders vs. Packersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$76.67
Dolphins vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$255
Cowboys vs. Eaglesbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$210
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-48.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elche CF win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$618Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$618.38
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+44.9%+$29.9
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$512Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$511.99
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$566Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$565.5
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$237.5
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$886Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+35.4%+$313.98
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+86.5%+$92.2
Will Barcelona win on 2025-08-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$142.98
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$117.8
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.23per pick45cpaid-57.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$371.98
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+81.8%+$108
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+100%+$156.5
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$369.99
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$231.95
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$635Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$634.58
Will Tottenham win on 2025-10-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$533Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$532.64
All 9 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick41cpaid+52.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Aug 23, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-08-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$390.92
Will Bayern München win on 2025-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$91.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 20, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$261
Diamondbacks vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$30.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$195
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+58.7%+$201.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+354.5%+$506.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 18, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 ATP Cincinnati?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$410.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 19, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lynx vs Libertybacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$25.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kraken vs. Capitalsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Aug 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-08-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$145.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs KT Rolster (BO1)backed OKSavingsBank BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$62.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.