NFL · resolved market
Saints vs. Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf962703012a033d57382d976ecc3d8b6a9a7991083be770e43464b3ea8683fde
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bearsof Saints, Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $920,413
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,012,413
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $920,413 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 283 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Saints | 35c | 272,562$95,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95,258.32 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Bears | 65c | 142,900$92,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,015 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Saints | 34c | 71,118$24,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,068.94 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Saints | 20c | 56,613$11,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,230.87 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Bears | 65c | 55,535$36,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,437.25 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Saints | 10c | 37,278$3,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,649.55 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Bears | 71c | 34,689$24,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,136.28 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bears | 72c | 28,988$21,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,979.46 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Bears | 66c | 24,500$16,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,284.99 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ef…5232backed Saints | 36c | 22,911$8,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,248 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Bears | 65c | 20,312$13,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,171.64 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Saints | 6c | 19,976$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.99 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Bears | 65c | 19,955$12,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,984.25 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +134.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Bears | 66c | 18,061$11,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,164.2 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Bears | 65c | 15,000$9,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,250 | 39 | 79.5%31 W · 8 L | +7.2wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Saints | 32c | 15,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.92 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Saints | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Bears | 66c | 9,332$6,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,139.23 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Bears | 65c | 9,231$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,230.98 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Saints | 8c | 9,028$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.96 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | +13.9wins | +0.13per pick | 10cpaid | +428.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bears | 65c | 9,000$5,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d89…6e06backed Saints | 34c | 7,900$2,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,686 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…a9f2backed Bears | 66c | 7,800$5,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,651.99 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a8…5d74backed Bears | 67c | 7,400$4,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,442 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Bears | 78c | 7,055$5,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.85 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Bears | 73c | 6,983$5,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,918.12 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bears | 65c | 6,716$4,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,377.28 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x474b…a13cbacked Saints | 1c | 5,880$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.02 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -65%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Bears | 64c | 5,684$3,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,046.15 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Bears | 66c | 5,406$3,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,832.68 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bears | 79c | 4,142$3,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.85 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Saints | 36c | 4,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Bears | 67c | 4,000$2,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Saints | 12c | 4,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Bears | 67c | 3,741$2,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.94 | 313 | 50.2%157 W · 156 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Bears | 65c | 3,562$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.05 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Bears | 65c | 3,517$2,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.91 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked Bears | 75c | 3,484$2,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.9 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Bears | 67c | 3,134$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.33 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…82eebacked Bears | 78c | 3,010$2,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Saints | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Saints | 34c | 2,940$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.6 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Bears | 65c | 2,900$1,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Bears | 65c | 2,830$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.5 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Saints | 36c | 2,778$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bears | 64c | 2,734$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.37 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…b883backed Bears | 66c | 2,428$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.58 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Saints | 6c | 2,366$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.27 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Bears | 67c | 2,189$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.59 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Bears | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Saints | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.99 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Saints | 36c | 1,927$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.74 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Saints | 1c | 1,814$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 112 | 8%9 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +413.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Bears | 67c | 1,749$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.13 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Bears | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Bears | 79c | 1,538$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.66 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3134…1b18backed Bears | 65c | 1,531$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.83 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Bears | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Saints | 31c | 1,500$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Saints | 34c | 1,472$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.48 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Bears | 68c | 1,399$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.73 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Saints | 1c | 1,366$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 148 | 6.8%10 W · 138 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +296.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Saints | 7c | 1,344$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.69 | 196 | 9.2%18 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Saints | 3c | 1,300$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 101 | 3%3 W · 98 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Saints | 32c | 1,290$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.07 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf32…aecbbacked Saints | 22c | 1,264$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Bears | 65c | 1,250$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.5 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf70c…72c1backed Saints | 36c | 1,161$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.04 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Bears | 69c | 1,149$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.25 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Bears | 65c | 1,050$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.5 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Saints | 13c | 1,034$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.03 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Saints | 34c | 1,030$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.2 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Bears | 67c | 1,015$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.93 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Bears | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x111c…2ac5backed Bears | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +35%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…9c77backed Saints | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Bears | 67c | 999.96$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.83 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Bears | 73c | 948$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.69 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Saints | 16c | 937.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Bears | 65c | 919.08$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.68 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Bears | 78c | 897.44$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.44 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdc…f4e4backed Bears | 76c | 883.21$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.97 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92c6…4722backed Saints | 36c | 880.56$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…bdbabacked Saints | 9c | 825$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.25 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Bears | 74c | 821$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.08 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de4…ca53backed Bears | 68c | 800$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74b0…d410backed Saints | 32c | 800$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xede9…94e5backed Bears | 67c | 796.12$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.72 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Saints | 34c | 764.71$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Bears | 66c | 750$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Saints | 34c | 735.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Saints | 34c | 680$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.2 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Saints | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…fabbbacked Saints | 32c | 581.7$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.14 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…fc97backed Saints | 34c | 544.67$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.19 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c84…2929backed Bears | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Saints | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Saints | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 121 | 33.9%41 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a3…1c90backed Saints | 20c | 497.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.51 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x126b…8753backed Saints | 34c | 441.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Saints vs. Bearsthis page
- Saints vs. Bears: O/U 44.5Under won
- Saints vs. Bears: O/U 45.5Under won
- Saints vs. Bears: O/U 46.5Under won
- Saints vs. Bears: O/U 47.5Under won
- Spread: Bears (-3.5)Bears won
- Spread: Bears (-4.5)Bears won
- Spread: Bears (-5.5)Bears won
- Spread: Bears (-6.5)Bears won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.