NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Bulls
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb15af62d47acf4bc0d8e8dc87d7575ee75e7bb2acf703b72bfd2dfe6afefc4e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bullsof Timberwolves, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,923
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,859
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,923 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Timberwolves | 43c | 5,425$2,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,331.37 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb345…5780backed Timberwolves | 66c | 4,868$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Timberwolves | 24c | 3,392$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.28 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bulls | 50c | 2,565$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.77 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Bulls | 42c | 2,369$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.94 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Bulls | 35c | 1,996$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.12 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Timberwolves | 44c | 1,967$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.34 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Bulls | 37c | 1,904$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.99 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Bulls | 59c | 1,430$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.2 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Bulls | 34c | 1,400$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.18 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Timberwolves | 41c | 1,310$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.5 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Bulls | 35c | 1,210$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.79 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Timberwolves | 65c | 1,082$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.33 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Timberwolves | 23c | 1,016$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.38 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Bulls | 34c | 939.12$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.99 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Bulls | 27c | 931.68$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.92 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Timberwolves | 31c | 907.65$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.67 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Timberwolves | 20c | 840$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.5 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Timberwolves | 1c | 821$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Bulls | 34c | 803$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.66 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5340…5e2bbacked Timberwolves | 69c | 721.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.04 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x991e…3190backed Bulls | 57c | 693.27$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.49 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bulls | 40c | 648.37$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.51 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Timberwolves | 67c | 617.29$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.09 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Bulls | 33c | 600$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Bulls | 35c | 596.62$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.8 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked Bulls | 47c | 558.5$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.13 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Timberwolves | 48c | 552$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.83 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Bulls | 44c | 545.42$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.42 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Timberwolves | 2c | 490.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2dd…61dcbacked Timberwolves | 67c | 468.11$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.94 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Timberwolves | 57c | 455.38$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.15 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc34…8e75backed Timberwolves | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Bulls | 34c | 388$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.08 | 400 | 35.5%142 W · 258 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…fc97backed Timberwolves | 65c | 372.36$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.82 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Bulls | 51c | 372.29$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.13 | 381 | 51.2%195 W · 186 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6136backed Timberwolves | 66c | 292.37$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.04 | 267 | 49.8%133 W · 134 L | +17.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bulls | 37c | 282$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.66 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Bulls | 33c | 275.76$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.76 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Bulls | 33c | 251$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.03 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Timberwolves | 60c | 240$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.39 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…2723backed Bulls | 36c | 203.31$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.12 | 126 | 33.3%42 W · 84 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Timberwolves | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Bulls | 26c | 200$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3be9…8cd1backed Timberwolves | 69c | 200$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x895c…f60cbacked Timberwolves | 66c | 192.72$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbf…784abacked Timberwolves | 65c | 190.35$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.73 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c39…15d7backed Timberwolves | 61c | 186.85$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.98 | 48 | 70.8%34 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +23%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…20b4backed Timberwolves | 65c | 184.62$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Bulls | 34c | 174.35$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.21 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +33.5wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Timberwolves | 68c | 159.98$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.34 | 203 | 49.3%100 W · 103 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Timberwolves | 47c | 156.25$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.44 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Timberwolves | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Bulls | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdad3…7044backed Bulls | 31c | 126$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.94 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Timberwolves | 68c | 119$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.92 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…54a7backed Timberwolves | 66c | 111.94$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.88 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Timberwolves | 68c | 107.14$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.86 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82e3…e940backed Timberwolves | 56c | 106.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.74 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.30per pick | 38cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bulls | 36c | 102.17$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.63 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Bulls | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 320 | 41.9%134 W · 186 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Bulls | 42c | 97$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.02 | 353 | 52.4%185 W · 168 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Bulls | 47c | 95.74$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.74 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Bulls | 43c | 94$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.17 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf376…d88abacked Timberwolves | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x53ee…700bbacked Bulls | 42c | 84.12$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 128 | 30.5%39 W · 89 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…86d0backed Timberwolves | 66c | 75.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad5…8328backed Bulls | 31c | 75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bulls | 35c | 71.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.27 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3662…5104backed Timberwolves | 45c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdf…edf9backed Timberwolves | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 53 | 71.7%38 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdc…3cf6backed Timberwolves | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86a5…01cfbacked Timberwolves | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…33debacked Bulls | 34c | 53.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.45 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Bulls | 36c | 53.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.55 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Bulls | 61c | 51.28$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 169 | 62.1%105 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Timberwolves | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Bulls | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…fabbbacked Timberwolves | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8756…843ebacked Timberwolves | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed Bulls | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 170 | 54.1%92 W · 78 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Bulls | 36c | 40.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17ae…ccf1backed Bulls | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Timberwolves | 66c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…1f37backed Timberwolves | 69c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4370…10a9backed Bulls | 31c | 38.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e4…3fd9backed Timberwolves | 64c | 36.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Bulls | 38c | 36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Bulls | 33c | 33.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfa…bfe0backed Bulls | 57c | 31.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1690…4bf8backed Timberwolves | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x858a…c4bebacked Bulls | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf913…5543backed Bulls | 33c | 31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +8.4wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Timberwolves | 46c | 30.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 205 | 47.8%98 W · 107 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa8…cd1ebacked Timberwolves | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbff…96a8backed Timberwolves | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…e2b1backed Bulls | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Timberwolves | 70c | 24.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x523c…5348backed Timberwolves | 61c | 20.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe74e…90b6backed Timberwolves | 65c | 18.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.