TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf913…5543

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
287
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 64 out of 100 (+0.13 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 64 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT16140.4%65 W · 96 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 161 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+149.1%+$41.31
New York Yankees vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+60.9%+$13.06
New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.35
Cleveland Guardians vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.85
Brewers vs. Dodgersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.8
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$9
Phillies vs. Dodgersbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.5
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.2
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+135.8%+$23.04
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.36
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.86
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+182.3%+$19.37
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.1
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.81
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.88
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$12.3
Yankees vs. Twinsbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
Guardians vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.9
Giants vs. Diamondbacksbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$17.1
Phillies vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.29
Rangers vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+74.4%+$8.53
Phillies vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.36
Rangers vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+57.5%+$7.3
Reds vs. Athleticsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.11
Showing 25 of 161 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT4163.4%26 W · 15 L+8.4wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+44.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
NBA — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pelicans vs. Trail Blazersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.81
Suns vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+77.3%+$8.97
Timberwolves vs. Pistonsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.58
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+288.6%+$29.87
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+105.8%+$12.9
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+92.8%+$12.03
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+87.8%+$9.74
Rockets vs. Bullsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.4
Pacers vs. Magicbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+195.3%+$73.43
Spurs vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.85
Knicks vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.15
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.15
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+89.3%+$37.68
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.2
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+178.4%+$35.46
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+58.9%+$24.57
Knicks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.21
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+123.9%+$19.37
Jazz vs. Wizardsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+155.5%+$21.3
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+91.6%+$28.69
76ers vs. Pelicansbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20.41
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+49.3%+$6.6
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+89.6%+$14.18
Kings vs. Lakersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+200.4%+$76.06
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+107.5%+$31.08
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT3154.8%17 W · 14 L+3.8wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+27.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+141.6%+$14.72
Lightning vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Wild vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+172.7%+$25.33
Hurricanes vs. Kingsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+64.8%+$7.87
Bruins vs. Avalanchebacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.52
Lightning vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.07
Rangers vs. Canadiensbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+202.4%+$25.69
Islanders vs. Senatorsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+160.1%+$32.62
Panthers vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+73.4%+$16.78
Canucks vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.7
Lightning vs. Red Wingsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.57
Wild vs. Capitalsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.8
Canucks vs. Starsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+184.8%+$39.58
Oilers vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+154.2%+$36.4
Kraken vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+53.2%+$8.41
Avalanche vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.8
Panthers vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$9.65
Jets vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.2
Flames vs. Utahbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.46
Blackhawks vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.54
Senators vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+106.6%+$30.96
Panthers vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+91.1%+$22.8
Penguins vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+189.9%+$26.2
Hurricanes vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.96
Lightning vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+169.4%+$37
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT2441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Florida State vs. Stanfordbacked Florida State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.2
Utah vs. BYUbacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+111.4%+$56.14
Tennessee vs. Alabamabacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.02
USC vs. Notre Damebacked USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.59
Texas vs. Kentuckybacked Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.41
Maryland Terrapins vs. UCLAbacked Maryland Terrapins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.31
Texas A&M vs. Arkansasbacked Arkansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.4
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Arizona Statebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.45
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+59.5%+$15.09
SMU Mustangs vs. Clemsonbacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.74
Baylor vs. TCUbacked Baylor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.14
Georgia Tech vs. Dukebacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.54
LSU vs. Vanderbiltbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+89.4%+$55.98
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Minnesotabacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.79
Louisville vs. Miamibacked Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+166.6%+$95.6
Delaware Blue Hens vs. Jacksonville Statebacked Jacksonville State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+85.8%+$36.93
UTEP vs. Sam Houston Bearkatsbacked UTEP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+72.2%+$17.14
Florida Gators vs. Texas A&Mbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.6
Indiana vs. Oregonbacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+153.8%+$18.18
Oklahoma vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+116.6%+$37.49
Iowa State vs. Coloradobacked Colorado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+102.9%+$30.43
Pittsburgh vs. Florida Statebacked Pittsburgh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+250.4%+$36.45
Alabama vs. Missouribacked Missouri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.34
South Florida vs. North Texasbacked North Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.98
All 24 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mercury vs. Acesbacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.6
Fever vs. Mysticsbacked Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.13
Liberty vs. Valkyriesbacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.71
Fever vs. Sparksbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+148.4%+$18.89
Sun vs. Wingsbacked Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.17
Valkyries vs. Wingsbacked Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.02
Mercury vs Acesbacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.6
Lynx vs Dreambacked Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+97%+$19.25
Mystics vs Sunbacked Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.6
Wings vs Sparksbacked Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.03
Dream vs Acesbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+95.3%+$11.58
Mercury vs Valkyriesbacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+116.8%+$24.03
Sun vs Mysticsbacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$16.5
Lynx vs Libertybacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+66%+$15.9
All 14 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2025, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+42.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Steelers vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+152.7%+$36.25
Bears vs. Commandersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+154.1%+$69.57
Bills vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+118.1%+$21.66
49ers vs. Buccaneersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.38
Titans vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$4.95
Cowboys vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$22.9
Chargers vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.3
Rams vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.24
Patriots vs. Billsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+242.8%+$59.4
49ers vs. Ramsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$30.98
Buccaneers vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.9
Commanders vs. Packersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.52
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+54.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.