MLB · resolved market
Guardians vs. Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6edc48fbfddf061dea8a7fead0b2986d5f08996ca254828b72b16c4364236c8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guardiansof Guardians, Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $127,201
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $133,392
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,201 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 432 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Tigers | 55c | 18,580$10,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,154.67 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Tigers | 57c | 9,160$5,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,221.2 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Guardians | 43c | 6,207$2,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,538.21 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Guardians | 45c | 6,026$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,325.3 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Tigers | 38c | 5,443$2,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,054.41 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Tigers | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.99 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Tigers | 56c | 3,417$1,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,913.3 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Tigers | 30c | 3,047$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.45 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Guardians | 43c | 2,983$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700.35 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Guardians | 46c | 2,625$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.24 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Tigers | 33c | 2,552$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.43 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Guardians | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Tigers | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.8 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Guardians | 44c | 2,137$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.62 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde2c…587bbacked Guardians | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Tigers | 1c | 1,743$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Tigers | 50c | 1,639$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.31 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…816ebacked Guardians | 45c | 1,444$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.44 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Guardians | 39c | 1,419$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.12 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Tigers | 56c | 1,408$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.43 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Tigers | 5c | 1,302$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Guardians | 52c | 1,238$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.3 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9244…b955backed Guardians | 43c | 1,215$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.55 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Guardians | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.16 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Tigers | 24c | 1,092$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.1 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Guardians | 58c | 1,071$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.6 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Guardians | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Guardians | 44c | 999.98$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.99 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Guardians | 43c | 999.96$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.98 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Tigers | 57c | 931.58$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Guardians | 44c | 909.09$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.09 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd1…009bbacked Guardians | 67c | 885.59$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.54 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0b…a747backed Tigers | 58c | 800$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Guardians | 67c | 762.63$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.26 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Guardians | 43c | 751.7$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.47 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…2f6bbacked Guardians | 44c | 738.34$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.47 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Tigers | 57c | 713.26$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.56 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Guardians | 42c | 708.41$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.88 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Guardians | 46c | 700$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.05 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Tigers | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Guardians | 44c | 600$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb3…2d43backed Tigers | 66c | 583.74$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.53 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Guardians | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.18 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Tigers | 56c | 561$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.16 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bd…2182backed Tigers | 11c | 558.96$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.56 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -42%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Tigers | 21c | 557$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.63 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Guardians | 39c | 552$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.8 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Tigers | 56c | 514$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.84 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed Guardians | 44c | 501.68$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.94 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Guardians | 43c | 499.98$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f47…0043backed Tigers | 60c | 465.74$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Tigers | 45c | 463.12$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.13 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Tigers | 57c | 456.14$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Guardians | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Guardians | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Tigers | 30c | 439.33$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Guardians | 44c | 401.98$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.11 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Guardians | 43c | 400$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…bdbdbacked Guardians | 74c | 371.16$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.5 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Guardians | 44c | 363.64$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.64 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Tigers | 36c | 352.78$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x791c…7910backed Tigers | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Guardians | 58c | 350$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Guardians | 45c | 344.44$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.44 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Guardians | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.91 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ff…41cebacked Guardians | 44c | 270$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Tigers | 57c | 252.63$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.5 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Tigers | 59c | 249.99$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.49 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Guardians | 43c | 246.51$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.51 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Guardians | 42c | 246$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.16 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Guardians | 44c | 241.61$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.3 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdce9…a751backed Guardians | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Tigers | 56c | 223.21$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Tigers | 56c | 209.95$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.82 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Tigers | 59c | 207.99$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.71 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9533…6d5fbacked Guardians | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +7.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x38f7…7f8dbacked Guardians | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe5…3c80backed Guardians | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df5…2390backed Guardians | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcff…0e58backed Tigers | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…c2a7backed Guardians | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac3…fd57backed Guardians | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…ba79backed Guardians | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabad…961cbacked Guardians | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd18…1e0bbacked Guardians | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacad…8443backed Guardians | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…7be5backed Tigers | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed2…1bfabacked Guardians | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0819…daa2backed Guardians | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…798bbacked Tigers | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4767…3838backed Tigers | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb35d…27b8backed Guardians | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc2…bfcfbacked Guardians | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a04…dbe9backed Guardians | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ceb…489fbacked Guardians | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x618f…9e04backed Guardians | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c0…10b0backed Guardians | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2855…8cb6backed Tigers | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5274…4ce8backed Guardians | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02cc…dc16backed Guardians | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Guardians vs. Tigersthis page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Under won
- NRFI: Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit TigersYes won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.