TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Iowa State vs. Colorado

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Coloradoof Iowa State, Colorado
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$995,691
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$997,301

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $995,691 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xed88…f3c4backed Iowa State59c740,111$435,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435,272.9412549.6%62 W · 63 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Colorado41c463,787$190,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273,348.7137749.6%187 W · 190 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Colorado41c150,000$61,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88,5006547.7%31 W · 34 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Colorado42c84,542$35,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,384.6615539.4%61 W · 94 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Iowa State58c51,415$30,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,055.7429249%143 W · 149 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked Colorado42c35,714$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,714.2915745.2%71 W · 86 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfcc…441bbacked Colorado42c30,621$12,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,760.431258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Colorado46c29,866$13,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,181.3230949.5%153 W · 156 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Colorado49c25,994$12,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,293.2727648.9%135 W · 141 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x96e1…50aabacked Iowa State59c17,866$10,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,516.424055%22 W · 18 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+7.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Iowa State45c14,960$6,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,684.631942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Iowa State60c14,628$8,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,823.968440.8%279 W · 405 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Colorado45c12,000$5,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,619.5610448.1%50 W · 54 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Colorado41c10,000$4,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,9007342.5%31 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Iowa State0c9,125$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.52244%9 W · 215 L-0.5wins0.00per pick4cpaid-74.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Colorado41c7,500$3,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,424.987944.3%35 W · 44 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fec…c965backed Colorado41c7,250$2,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,277.823735.1%13 W · 24 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-39%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Colorado41c7,000$2,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,13052641.8%220 W · 306 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Iowa State59c6,331$3,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,735.2981847.9%392 W · 426 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Iowa State59c6,000$3,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5405957.6%34 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c54…da75backed Iowa State46c5,320$2,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,421.231963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Colorado41c5,138$2,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,016.9213450.7%68 W · 66 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Colorado70c4,984$3,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,488.3986243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Iowa State58c4,228$2,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,452.3449443.7%216 W · 278 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Colorado38c3,956$1,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,445.415451.9%80 W · 74 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Iowa State27c3,195$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.220039.5%79 W · 121 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Colorado41c3,100$1,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8296947.8%33 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Colorado41c3,000$1,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,76512450.8%63 W · 61 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd724…b805backed Colorado48c2,985$1,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,552.113565.7%23 W · 12 L+5.9wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+25.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Iowa State56c2,827$1,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,583.1420450.5%103 W · 101 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Colorado42c2,755$1,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,601.2475651.9%392 W · 364 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Iowa State41c2,722$1,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,115.9734250.3%172 W · 170 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe85e…2aebbacked Iowa State44c2,682$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,170728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-33.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Colorado47c2,546$1,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,351.86251.6%32 W · 30 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Iowa State58c2,000$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,16038142.5%162 W · 219 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ba3…c720backed Iowa State57c1,873$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf27…2ec3backed Colorado43c1,871$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.47366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+29.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Iowa State52c1,616$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.0255350.3%278 W · 275 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Colorado47c1,432$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.5140244.8%180 W · 222 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Colorado41c1,400$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.9911149.5%55 W · 56 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Iowa State17c1,370$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.264841.2%267 W · 381 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Colorado42c1,325$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.4215352.3%80 W · 73 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ae8…a9c3backed Iowa State58c1,293$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+39.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked Iowa State56c1,200$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67817954.2%97 W · 82 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Colorado41c1,133$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.2922750.7%115 W · 112 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Iowa State53c1,030$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5471315.4%2 W · 11 L-4.1wins-0.32per pick47cpaid-79.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Iowa State55c1,023$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.549253.5%263 W · 229 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed Iowa State67c1,000$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6703661.1%22 W · 14 L+4.8wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Colorado53c962.7$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.4185947.7%410 W · 449 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Colorado50c875.68$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.1162843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c51…af7ebacked Iowa State59c800.36$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.3711844.1%52 W · 66 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Colorado48c738$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.0110750.5%54 W · 53 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Colorado42c714.29$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.291747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e92…f606backed Colorado61c702.39$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.93450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Colorado43c669$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.331,09041.7%455 W · 635 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Colorado43c632.56$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.562,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Colorado42c622$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.7617361.3%106 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb7c…8eabbacked Iowa State49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d03…369abacked Iowa State58c600$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34812750.4%64 W · 63 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Iowa State42c560$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.9710346.6%48 W · 55 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x114a…8aa2backed Colorado50c538.81$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.011060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Colorado42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29015751%80 W · 77 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed Iowa State59c500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2958348.2%40 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79f8…c950backed Colorado44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2801145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+25.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b86…0669backed Colorado41c494.52$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.772748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3726…8568backed Iowa State63c472.17$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9925…e33ebacked Iowa State66c454.33$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.864641.3%19 W · 27 L-6.4wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-23.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1c36…9719backed Colorado52c454$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.92650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Colorado39c400$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2445648.2%27 W · 29 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+3.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Iowa State55c398$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.6857144.7%255 W · 316 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Colorado48c368.83$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.1240541.2%167 W · 238 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x355c…e6d4backed Iowa State58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010347.6%49 W · 54 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2359…f72bbacked Colorado42c332.95$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.1114055%77 W · 63 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Iowa State41c324.59$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.4238450.5%194 W · 190 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked Colorado43c279.07$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.071346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked Colorado42c261.83$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.862100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+166.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Colorado44c250$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14030253%160 W · 142 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Colorado41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.939847.7%190 W · 208 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Colorado42c240$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.213253.8%71 W · 61 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Iowa State63c238$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.8530548.9%149 W · 156 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked Colorado32c207$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.769446.8%44 W · 50 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781e…2484backed Iowa State32c200$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632532%8 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick23cpaid+70.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b2b…5752backed Iowa State56c197.41$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1106630.3%20 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x12cb…cc16backed Colorado51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.083100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+131.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Colorado54c185.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.677553.3%40 W · 35 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35de…b39abacked Iowa State59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002737%10 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x28a1…435cbacked Colorado52c156$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.986349.2%31 W · 32 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Colorado42c150$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8747331.5%149 W · 324 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb02f…0673backed Colorado60c138.56$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.423046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf7…836abacked Iowa State49c123.22$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.381250%6 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b90…3d27backed Iowa State16c122.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3311022.7%25 W · 85 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe2c…4ae8backed Colorado42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.054557.8%26 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5340…5e2bbacked Colorado42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.053537.1%13 W · 22 L-5.0wins-0.14per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x15a9…677ebacked Colorado35c114.29$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.293135.5%11 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+32.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf35…b327backed Colorado45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.115743.9%25 W · 32 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0fc3…5a00backed Colorado49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.042218.2%4 W · 18 L-6.0wins-0.27per pick46cpaid-64.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Iowa State57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5713149.6%65 W · 66 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4e2…0187backed Iowa State44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-32.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x133b…faa8backed Colorado43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577041.4%29 W · 41 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7dd1…009bbacked Iowa State59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.