College Football · resolved market
Florida State vs. Stanford
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f3acfb4a75f7b8db894bc089126f370ac291b3bd1bb5dc5acbd795dda764276
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stanfordof Florida State, Stanford
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,026,614
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,050,855
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,026,614 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1fce…2229backed Stanford | 78c | 147,999$115,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,684.66 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Stanford | 41c | 137,112$55,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81,347.39 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Florida State | 7c | 104,582$7,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,551.67 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Florida State | 54c | 56,296$30,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,351.6 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Florida State | 50c | 37,787$18,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,788.85 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Florida State | 38c | 36,773$13,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,863.73 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Florida State | 24c | 35,554$8,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,536.64 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Florida State | 33c | 21,886$7,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,192.16 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Florida State | 52c | 21,097$10,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,954.25 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Stanford | 12c | 20,794$2,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,298.32 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Florida State | 4c | 13,334$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.04 | 86 | 29.1%25 W · 61 L | +15.2wins | +0.18per pick | 11cpaid | +361.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Florida State | 48c | 13,035$6,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,320.04 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Florida State | 41c | 12,962$5,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,347.75 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Florida State | 33c | 12,531$4,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,174.93 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…bdbabacked Florida State | 29c | 10,522$3,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,040.86 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Stanford | 23c | 10,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,700 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Florida State | 32c | 9,621$3,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,039.52 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Florida State | 1c | 8,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.21per pick | 2cpaid | +841.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Florida State | 51c | 6,944$3,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,547.41 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Florida State | 38c | 5,849$2,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,215.02 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d2…2280backed Stanford | 70c | 5,311$3,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,593.38 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Stanford | 67c | 5,287$3,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,725.06 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf32…aecbbacked Stanford | 40c | 4,941$1,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,972.53 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e2…2953backed Stanford | 34c | 4,800$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,149.98 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Stanford | 12c | 4,562$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,014.56 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7d…0a62backed Florida State | 55c | 4,500$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,475 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Florida State | 57c | 3,492$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…3801backed Florida State | 41c | 3,418$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x283d…0dadbacked Florida State | 74c | 3,297$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,439.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x106c…1cf6backed Florida State | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Stanford | 49c | 2,795$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.98 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Stanford | 11c | 2,492$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,217.76 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…2081backed Stanford | 25c | 2,276$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,707.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8d…f2c7backed Stanford | 24c | 2,238$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.54 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Stanford | 11c | 2,230$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,973.51 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Florida State | 35c | 2,194$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.21 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Stanford | 24c | 2,150$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.15 | 190 | 43.2%82 W · 108 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Florida State | 55c | 2,146$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.19 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x260e…d196backed Florida State | 24c | 2,035$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Florida State | 75c | 1,971$1,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.83 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Florida State | 22c | 1,884$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.89 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x992f…7c97backed Stanford | 73c | 1,798$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Stanford | 12c | 1,665$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464.94 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…f661backed Florida State | 39c | 1,656$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.51 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Florida State | 56c | 1,650$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Florida State | 40c | 1,516$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.75 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked Florida State | 79c | 1,472$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.56 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Florida State | 73c | 1,380$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.82 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd553…6af5backed Stanford | 68c | 1,055$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.55 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x942d…e227backed Stanford | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Stanford | 36c | 1,000$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…e12bbacked Stanford | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Florida State | 9c | 964.27$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.38 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…7640backed Stanford | 63c | 949.07$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Stanford | 19c | 947.99$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.99 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Florida State | 1c | 909$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 81 | 4.9%4 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Florida State | 61c | 795.87$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.43 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed Stanford | 80c | 755.73$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.15 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8189…6e97backed Florida State | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Stanford | 12c | 708.33$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.33 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee0c…0a49backed Stanford | 17c | 690$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9737…38a5backed Stanford | 27c | 642.18$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9b…5722backed Florida State | 58c | 618.14$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.53 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Florida State | 28c | 579.13$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.88 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…7a07backed Florida State | 62c | 550.41$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.19 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75a0…be02backed Florida State | 32c | 543.03$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.77 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Stanford | 46c | 530$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.2 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15a9…677ebacked Stanford | 43c | 506.29$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.33 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Florida State | 41c | 503.33$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.83 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Florida State | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 14cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Florida State | 14c | 447.52$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc757…f18cbacked Florida State | 78c | 384.65$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked Stanford | 58c | 367.8$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.2 | 188 | 68.1%128 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe944…0837backed Florida State | 28c | 331.73$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.35 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…8b1fbacked Stanford | 31c | 327.51$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.51 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…3292backed Stanford | 76c | 321.88$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Stanford | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Florida State | 40c | 298.58$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.47 | 110 | 22.7%25 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…2e8fbacked Florida State | 51c | 276.09$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.6 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7d…423fbacked Stanford | 46c | 265.07$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.14 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Stanford | 61c | 264.02$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09c4…40cdbacked Florida State | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Florida State | 57c | 250$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.56 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd58…18f9backed Stanford | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Florida State | 37c | 240.49$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.84 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed Stanford | 65c | 226.71$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d2…2ebcbacked Stanford | 60c | 216.76$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef2…c094backed Stanford | 12c | 209.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +164.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Stanford | 12c | 200$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.5 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…b2ddbacked Stanford | 12c | 200$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Florida State | 7c | 199.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…42f9backed Stanford | 51c | 194.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Stanford | 63c | 193.92$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.75 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Stanford | 36c | 172.78$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.58 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 36cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x566a…881abacked Florida State | 46c | 165.4$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Florida State | 33c | 165.22$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.22 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Florida State | 65c | 164.72$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.27 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc96f…d46bbacked Florida State | 67c | 159.26$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.4 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x500d…7f34backed Stanford | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.85 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +214.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc19e…7e4abacked Stanford | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.85 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Florida State vs. Stanfordthis page
- Florida State vs. Stanford: O/U 54.5Under won
- O/U 53.5Under won
- Spread: Florida State (-17.5)Stanford won
- Spread: Florida State (-18.5)Stanford won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.