NHL · resolved market
Panthers vs. Red Wings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe376990c3cc10e4cd1489c76495b13903db2d6b96b00f3a9f7ed8fa2549e9941
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Wingsof Panthers, Red Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $690,753
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $700,014
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $690,753 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 977 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Panthers | 59c | 177,332$104,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104,625.73 | 167 | 43.1%72 W · 95 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Red Wings | 41c | 146,400$60,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86,376 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Panthers | 58c | 68,232$39,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,292.46 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Red Wings | 41c | 55,555$22,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,777.45 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Red Wings | 42c | 42,309$17,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,652.68 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Red Wings | 42c | 39,269$16,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,878.63 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Panthers | 59c | 36,860$21,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,691.6 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Red Wings | 41c | 35,017$14,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,659.9 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Red Wings | 43c | 34,726$14,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,948.59 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Red Wings | 41c | 30,000$12,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,700 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Panthers | 59c | 25,000$14,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,750 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Panthers | 59c | 24,225$14,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,291.1 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Panthers | 45c | 21,812$9,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,835.5 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Panthers | 60c | 18,427$11,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,056.27 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Panthers | 59c | 12,134$7,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,159.08 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Red Wings | 41c | 10,231$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,031.47 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Red Wings | 40c | 9,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Panthers | 57c | 8,991$5,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,125 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked Panthers | 58c | 8,276$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Red Wings | 43c | 8,227$3,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,666.62 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Red Wings | 42c | 6,555$2,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,802 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -9.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Red Wings | 43c | 5,555$2,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,166.34 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Red Wings | 42c | 5,555$2,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,199.63 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Red Wings | 42c | 5,408$2,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,160.93 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb37c…164ebacked Red Wings | 43c | 5,367$2,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,059.19 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…4d99backed Panthers | 56c | 5,006$2,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,803.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Red Wings | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,799.98 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Red Wings | 40c | 4,843$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,898.62 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Red Wings | 43c | 4,500$1,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,564.95 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Red Wings | 45c | 4,493$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,492.57 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Red Wings | 41c | 4,300$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,519.94 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Panthers | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Panthers | 56c | 3,996$2,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,257.72 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Panthers | 59c | 3,729$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Panthers | 58c | 3,610$2,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,093.8 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ef…7db1backed Red Wings | 44c | 3,590$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,010.3 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Red Wings | 42c | 3,432$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,984.76 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9195…72a4backed Red Wings | 43c | 3,314$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,888.95 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Panthers | 57c | 3,307$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,869.93 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Panthers | 57c | 3,000$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,701.98 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Red Wings | 56c | 2,910$1,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.36 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Red Wings | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.99 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Panthers | 56c | 2,499$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.18 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Red Wings | 40c | 2,425$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.08 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Red Wings | 42c | 2,400$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Panthers | 57c | 2,370$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.9 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Red Wings | 43c | 2,330$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.1 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Panthers | 56c | 2,113$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.38 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Red Wings | 67c | 2,061$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.99 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Panthers | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…cf2ebacked Red Wings | 44c | 2,000$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda2…4375backed Red Wings | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Panthers | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.98 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Panthers | 56c | 1,992$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.31 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Red Wings | 69c | 1,933$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.36 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Panthers | 18c | 1,788$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0b…7317backed Panthers | 57c | 1,750$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6123…b735backed Panthers | 57c | 1,740$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e62…8603backed Red Wings | 44c | 1,740$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc446…c175backed Panthers | 57c | 1,656$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…296dbacked Red Wings | 44c | 1,656$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Panthers | 58c | 1,550$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.96 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…ab18backed Red Wings | 41c | 1,500$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Panthers | 56c | 1,486$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.15 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…4ea0backed Red Wings | 44c | 1,400$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +119%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…406abacked Panthers | 33c | 1,380$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Panthers | 33c | 1,376$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.08 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Panthers | 31c | 1,371$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.7 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d68…350bbacked Panthers | 57c | 1,350$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Red Wings | 41c | 1,339$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.12 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…8929backed Panthers | 57c | 1,300$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9905…d8a7backed Red Wings | 44c | 1,300$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Red Wings | 77c | 1,297$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Red Wings | 42c | 1,267$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.67 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d6…eb51backed Panthers | 57c | 1,250$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Red Wings | 69c | 1,249$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.45 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Red Wings | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.51 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d1…1f48backed Red Wings | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6327…e181backed Panthers | 15c | 1,170$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.13 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c36…c1efbacked Red Wings | 44c | 1,132$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Panthers | 17c | 1,056$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.46 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Panthers | 57c | 1,055$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.35 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb312…843dbacked Panthers | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbc…66c9backed Panthers | 56c | 1,000$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Red Wings | 43c | 999.99$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Panthers | 55c | 999.98$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x206f…1760backed Panthers | 57c | 995.09$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d20…a21cbacked Panthers | 57c | 985$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Panthers | 56c | 977$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.36 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Red Wings | 49c | 946$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.2 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa5…25d7backed Panthers | 57c | 940$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e80…db1dbacked Panthers | 57c | 908.77$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c02…3c15backed Panthers | 57c | 800$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Red Wings | 41c | 785.55$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.47 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Panthers | 33c | 773.59$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.51 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6136backed Panthers | 57c | 772$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.09 | 293 | 45.1%132 W · 161 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Panthers | 57c | 750$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.5 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Red Wings | 41c | 750$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.5 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Red Wings | 40c | 750$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Red Wings | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.71 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panthers vs. Red Wingsthis page
- Panthers vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5Under won
- Panthers vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Panthers (-1.5)Red Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.