TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

South Florida vs. North Texas

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
South Floridaof South Florida, North Texas
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$649,868
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$669,255

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $649,868 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 316 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5375…aeeabacked South Florida48c165,767$79,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86,610.6968440.8%279 W · 405 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked North Texas55c64,659$35,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,467.4675651.9%392 W · 364 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked North Texas53c42,995$22,769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,768.968331.3%26 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked South Florida44c36,050$15,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,187.965745.6%26 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed South Florida44c32,755$14,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,303.3734250.3%172 W · 170 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9249…4f16backed North Texas54c26,734$14,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,436.2710046%46 W · 54 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaefe…1e4abacked North Texas57c26,461$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,0002955.2%16 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked North Texas55c26,277$14,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,401.3730949.5%153 W · 156 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed North Texas0c18,368$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.372244%9 W · 215 L-0.5wins0.00per pick4cpaid-74.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd8c…672ebacked South Florida44c12,331$5,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,869.743135.5%11 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+26.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2a3…c3a6backed North Texas55c12,000$6,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,60011653.4%62 W · 54 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed North Texas56c11,452$6,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,398.610448.1%50 W · 54 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked South Florida55c11,249$6,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,100.3140541.2%167 W · 238 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked North Texas55c8,469$4,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,644.9113450.7%68 W · 66 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked North Texas54c7,848$4,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,237.669750.5%49 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed South Florida45c7,653$3,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,209.153154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed South Florida48c7,500$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,899.98560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked South Florida47c6,843$3,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,659.8549443.7%216 W · 278 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked South Florida50c6,009$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,009.263036.7%11 W · 19 L-6.7wins-0.22per pick59cpaid-40.9%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x69ab…c993backed North Texas52c5,850$3,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,04220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed North Texas54c5,546$2,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,994.849540%38 W · 57 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked North Texas0c5,101$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.23814.9%4 W · 77 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick4cpaid-40.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked North Texas54c4,999$2,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,682.54650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed North Texas55c4,142$2,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,278.1411541.7%48 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47bc…f080backed South Florida50c4,100$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,050250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2b0…18adbacked South Florida50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdadb…ee44backed North Texas52c4,000$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,08010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked North Texas55c4,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20052641.8%220 W · 306 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…366bbacked North Texas51c4,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0401735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea18…3cbebacked South Florida44c4,000$1,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,221.23944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed North Texas56c3,920$2,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,176.910750.5%54 W · 53 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked North Texas55c3,600$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9806947.8%33 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked North Texas20c3,490$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71220039.5%79 W · 121 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed North Texas56c3,367$1,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,875.881258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked North Texas55c3,227$1,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,774.8520450.5%103 W · 101 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…6137backed South Florida49c3,200$1,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6323253.1%17 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+33.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed North Texas45c3,038$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,380.227929.1%23 W · 56 L-8.1wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-41.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6c87…ded9backed North Texas54c3,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,62010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x372b…0a9abacked South Florida47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,590250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc23b…24f9backed North Texas52c3,000$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,550450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d85…228ebacked North Texas52c2,979$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5503145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x540c…a634backed South Florida50c2,951$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,480.921947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed South Florida49c2,881$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,480.476838.2%26 W · 42 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed North Texas60c2,878$1,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,716.385947.7%410 W · 449 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed South Florida53c2,753$1,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,304.24654.3%25 W · 21 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe341…2e5ebacked North Texas55c2,700$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,48510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed North Texas56c2,679$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked North Texas53c2,647$1,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,395.0281847.9%392 W · 426 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b3b5backed South Florida39c2,500$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5252147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked North Texas56c2,500$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed North Texas51c2,500$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,274.9824348.1%117 W · 126 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed South Florida45c2,222$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.227146.5%33 W · 38 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf800…f62dbacked North Texas53c2,128$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1306656.1%37 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed North Texas50c2,110$1,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,055.058549.4%42 W · 43 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb0b…3fabbacked North Texas55c2,100$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,15510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed South Florida49c2,100$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,070.98250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed North Texas59c2,069$1,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,226.8740244.8%180 W · 222 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x637a…6d23backed South Florida49c2,050$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.54860.4%29 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf8a…4a02backed South Florida49c2,010$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.1650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8de…882ebacked North Texas51c2,010$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.1250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4762…ba70backed North Texas51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x298d…feacbacked South Florida45c1,900$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0451100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked South Florida53c1,869$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.3962843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed North Texas55c1,819$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.9429351.9%152 W · 141 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed South Florida55c1,815$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.7186243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf38d…fa60backed South Florida50c1,750$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8752100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x63c6…4cc5backed South Florida45c1,600$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8801100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked North Texas1c1,561$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.11790%0 W · 79 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked North Texas51c1,537$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.9950358.1%292 W · 211 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked North Texas55c1,516$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$836.4749253.5%263 W · 229 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed North Texas3c1,500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40806.3%5 W · 75 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56bb…8e6bbacked North Texas47c1,334$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.791330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-41.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd724…b805backed South Florida46c1,323$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.033565.7%23 W · 12 L+5.9wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+25.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked North Texas54c1,267$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.726251.6%32 W · 30 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0432…1660backed North Texas16c1,209$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.389635.4%34 W · 62 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed North Texas2c1,208$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.15694.3%3 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick2cpaid-16.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x63fa…7ea4backed South Florida51c1,207$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.482100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+75%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked South Florida47c1,183$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.4417361.3%106 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked South Florida57c1,161$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.157144.7%255 W · 316 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c51…af7ebacked South Florida44c1,140$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.3911844.1%52 W · 66 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked North Texas55c1,100$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60516747.9%80 W · 87 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28b1…5a3fbacked South Florida46c1,087$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.963256.3%18 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4aae…d563backed South Florida47c1,068$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.11172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21d8…ad91backed North Texas57c1,053$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6008145.7%37 W · 44 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed North Texas50c1,000$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.881315.4%2 W · 11 L-4.1wins-0.32per pick47cpaid-79.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1254…cec1backed South Florida50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+33.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed South Florida44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5606835.3%24 W · 44 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68e1…702fbacked North Texas52c998.2$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed South Florida48c919.26$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.551,09041.7%455 W · 635 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d03…369abacked South Florida48c896$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.9212750.4%64 W · 63 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb99…5d0fbacked North Texas51c889.13$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.992040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed North Texas56c885.64$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.32per pick54cpaid-57.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb4f6…1e17backed North Texas52c853.19$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.6620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8cd…844dbacked South Florida50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70f9…e036backed South Florida45c800$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4403100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+104.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed North Texas54c748.84$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.2610742.1%45 W · 62 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed North Texas55c745$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.754045%18 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked South Florida48c728.02$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.4317954.2%97 W · 82 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed North Texas9c710.3$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.7763243.7%276 W · 356 L+34.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+138.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked South Florida45c700$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3851457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.