NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Wizards

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5495e280bc2647c6b6bde53e4874c6504321bc99fb3582d781d044566e918236

Rebuilt 24 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Jazzof Jazz, Wizards
Resolved: Mar 6, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,402,999

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,402,999 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,984 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6a57…2afabacked Jazz	40c	171,239$67,730 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103,509.61	89	44.9%40 W · 49 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Jazz	40c	161,498$63,984 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97,513.91	483	43.7%211 W · 272 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Jazz	39c	130,769$51,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79,768.99	435	42.8%186 W · 249 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Wizards	61c	122,254$74,575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74,574.94	176	46%81 W · 95 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Wizards	60c	100,000$60,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60,000	262	53.8%141 W · 121 L	+10.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4eef…3fcbbacked Jazz	45c	60,000$26,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33,099.9	119	55.5%66 W · 53 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Wizards	61c	53,635$32,481 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32,481.02	232	57.8%134 W · 98 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Wizards	25c	48,759$11,952 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,952.09	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Jazz	39c	40,000$15,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,600	545	39.6%216 W · 329 L	-28.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Wizards	61c	37,767$23,038 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,037.89	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Wizards	28c	34,852$9,902 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,901.57	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Jazz	39c	30,713$11,971 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,741.82	109	30.3%33 W · 76 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Wizards	55c	29,265$16,070 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,070.03	513	54.2%278 W · 235 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Wizards	55c	29,000$15,950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,950	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jazz	39c	28,532$11,063 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,468.81	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Wizards	55c	26,636$14,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,649.8	326	53.1%173 W · 153 L	+19.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Wizards	60c	24,720$14,832 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,832.19	593	47%279 W · 314 L	-7.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Jazz	73c	24,097$17,706 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,391.58	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Wizards	60c	23,500$14,070 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,069.81	325	40.3%131 W · 194 L	-10.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7af9…b408backed Wizards	61c	20,044$12,227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,226.84	66	57.6%38 W · 28 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Wizards	38c	20,000$7,548 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,548.42	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Wizards	29c	19,662$5,733 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,732.75	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Wizards	58c	19,631$11,330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,329.71	215	49.8%107 W · 108 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Wizards	11c	19,391$2,044 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,043.88	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9a6…0009backed Wizards	15c	19,302$2,989 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,988.57	42	54.8%23 W · 19 L	+2.9wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Wizards	61c	19,189$11,630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,630.2	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb12d…f73cbacked Wizards	61c	17,627$10,752 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,752.29	96	55.2%53 W · 43 L	+4.3wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Jazz	38c	17,226$6,546 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,680.26	1,197	46.7%559 W · 638 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Wizards	61c	16,393$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	101	58.4%59 W · 42 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Jazz	40c	16,353$6,463 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,889.28	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd359…6007backed Jazz	79c	16,140$12,811 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,329.43	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-2.3wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Jazz	40c	15,704$6,270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,433.8	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Wizards	54c	15,000$8,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,100	458	50.4%231 W · 227 L	+11.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc33a…3da3backed Wizards	25c	14,246$3,539 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,538.93	97	41.2%40 W · 57 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Wizards	60c	12,750$7,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,649.96	285	54%154 W · 131 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Jazz	39c	12,500$4,875 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,625	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x564f…f8fdbacked Wizards	18c	12,008$2,153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,153.22	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Wizards	61c	11,880$7,247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,246.8	221	43%95 W · 126 L	-12.0wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Jazz	64c	11,282$7,187 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,094.8	894	44.4%397 W · 497 L	+8.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Wizards	27c	11,181$3,069 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,068.74	489	56.4%276 W · 213 L	+31.3wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Jazz	60c	10,003$6,051 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,952.44	1,341	29.9%401 W · 940 L	-53.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Wizards	23c	10,000$2,252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,251.72	483	52%251 W · 232 L	+10.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdab4…a27abacked Jazz	39c	10,000$3,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,100	89	44.9%40 W · 49 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Wizards	61c	9,750$5,948 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,947.5	715	47.7%341 W · 374 L	-26.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Wizards	45c	9,711$4,371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,370.79	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Wizards	51c	9,488$4,875 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,874.9	328	46.6%153 W · 175 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Wizards	54c	9,100$4,891 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,890.8	623	47.7%297 W · 326 L	-9.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Wizards	54c	9,041$4,920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,919.96	355	47.3%168 W · 187 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e4a…311cbacked Jazz	40c	8,955$3,582 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,373	114	43.9%50 W · 64 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xceb5…3fbfbacked Wizards	61c	8,832$5,419 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,419.13	64	45.3%29 W · 35 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdcbf…d37fbacked Jazz	42c	8,310$3,513 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,797.32	87	28.7%25 W · 62 L	-5.2wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Wizards	30c	8,196$2,418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,417.88	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ea…6e4ebacked Wizards	60c	8,166$4,912 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,911.97	161	46%74 W · 87 L	-4.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Wizards	62c	8,128$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa89c…398fbacked Jazz	40c	8,000$3,219 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,780.85	125	24.8%31 W · 94 L	-5.6wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Jazz	40c	8,000$3,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,800	320	39.4%126 W · 194 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x83ab…3d56backed Jazz	39c	8,000$3,120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,880	93	43%40 W · 53 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7517…0353backed Jazz	75c	7,986$6,028 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,958.3	278	65.8%183 W · 95 L	+25.4wins	+0.09per pick	57cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9db1…d726backed Jazz	46c	7,677$3,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,176.73	34	23.5%8 W · 26 L	-3.0wins	-0.09per pick	32cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9ae…a7b9backed Jazz	40c	7,537$3,042 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,495.94	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Wizards	60c	7,438$4,463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,462.6	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x046c…8ca3backed Jazz	42c	7,293$3,074 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,218.91	93	30.1%28 W · 65 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Wizards	39c	7,169$2,789 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,789.37	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Wizards	36c	7,138$2,590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,589.58	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Jazz	39c	7,000$2,753 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,246.66	1,390	26%361 W · 1,029 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Wizards	60c	6,866$4,142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,142.03	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Wizards	3c	6,843$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.48	317	9.5%30 W · 287 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-59.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdec4…b675backed Jazz	47c	6,419$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,418.7	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Jazz	68c	6,418$4,375 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,042.48	768	50.3%386 W · 382 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Jazz	46c	6,415$2,951 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,464.1	164	40.9%67 W · 97 L	+9.5wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Wizards	60c	6,000$3,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,600	579	50.1%290 W · 289 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3135…26a0backed Wizards	62c	5,900$3,658 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,658	43	60.5%26 W · 17 L	+3.5wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1d4…38d6backed Wizards	5c	5,664$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.68	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Jazz	47c	5,500$2,580 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,920.07	691	49.1%339 W · 352 L	-8.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19c9…d009backed Jazz	39c	5,500$2,145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,355	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Wizards	53c	5,500$2,915 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,914.98	344	56.7%195 W · 149 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f3b…0cf9backed Jazz	49c	5,437$2,643 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,794.14	221	59.7%132 W · 89 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Wizards	61c	5,405$3,289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,288.71	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Jazz	39c	5,393$2,103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,289.73	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Wizards	58c	5,172$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdab7…24ecbacked Jazz	58c	5,162$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,161.93	160	65%104 W · 56 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	64cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf05…291bbacked Jazz	39c	5,128$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,128.21	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Jazz	72c	5,042$3,610 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,431.53	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8000…3a21backed Jazz	46c	5,000$2,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,700	259	47.5%123 W · 136 L	+14.5wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Wizards	60c	5,000$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	185	47%87 W · 98 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Wizards	61c	5,000$3,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,050	61	47.5%29 W · 32 L	-4.6wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x32b0…0b70backed Wizards	54c	5,000$2,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,700	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+2.5wins	+0.18per pick	46cpaid	+31.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c49…dd2dbacked Jazz	45c	5,000$2,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,749.99	200	48%96 W · 104 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Jazz	76c	4,957$3,770 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,187.18	815	29.4%240 W · 575 L	-37.0wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-43%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x667b…343dbacked Wizards	46c	4,935$2,268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,268.46	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Wizards	41c	4,808$1,963 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,962.61	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Jazz	43c	4,750$2,030 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,720	807	37.7%304 W · 503 L	-33.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x91b2…1039backed Jazz	46c	4,630$2,130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,500.2	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.54per pick	46cpaid	+117.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7ac…f411backed Jazz	46c	4,630$2,130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,500.2	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.54per pick	46cpaid	+117.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed1f…b2acbacked Wizards	54c	4,620$2,495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,494.8	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01d5…b9e7backed Wizards	54c	4,620$2,495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,494.8	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fff…d05ebacked Wizards	54c	4,620$2,495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,494.8	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22a7…bee1backed Wizards	54c	4,620$2,495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,494.8	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa127…1ad5backed Jazz	46c	4,610$2,121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,489.4	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.54per pick	46cpaid	+117.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4db…7ff9backed Jazz	46c	4,610$2,121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,489.4	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.54per pick	46cpaid	+117.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Jazz vs. Wizards

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event