NBA · resolved market
Jazz vs. Wizards: O/U 243.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5170d3a1ed8790835fc8ee22d323ac5f0efbb92d4b52e2b44f7101481f2880a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $141,016
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,016 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Over | 50c | 34,976$17,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,537.97 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 21,622$10,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,114.41 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf0…8b2bbacked Under | 50c | 16,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,000 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…b408backed Under | 50c | 12,242$6,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,121 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 53c | 11,541$6,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,429.72 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Under | 53c | 11,492$6,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,409.94 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c9…0f2bbacked Under | 52c | 8,000$4,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,845.46 | 135 | 43.7%59 W · 76 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd59e…87fabacked Under | 50c | 6,820$3,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,410 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe54…dd5fbacked Under | 50c | 5,605$2,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,802.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc7…0602backed Over | 47c | 5,558$2,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,612.19 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…b429backed Over | 50c | 5,444$2,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,722 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05f2…61b7backed Over | 50c | 5,288$2,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,644 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Under | 53c | 5,001$2,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,325.62 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,839.99 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 45c | 2,901$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.12 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 47c | 2,854$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.58 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 53c | 2,834$1,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.09 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 56c | 2,679$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.57 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 53c | 1,813$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.78 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…22b1backed Over | 50c | 1,693$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 48c | 1,637$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.15 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x605d…cec3backed Over | 44c | 1,634$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 45c | 1,371$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.75 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bee…a369backed Under | 50c | 1,235$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.62 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Over | 50c | 1,167$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.15 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Under | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.08 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Over | 47c | 1,060$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.2 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 51c | 939.47$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.32 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4af4…f9e0backed Under | 59c | 899.98$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.99 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Under | 57c | 879.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.19 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over | 50c | 873.2$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.6 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Over | 41c | 720.22$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.23 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Under | 51c | 686.27$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.27 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 57c | 556$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.6 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 53c | 528.3$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.3 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 48c | 509.65$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.67 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0301…9058backed Under | 58c | 506.99$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.35 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 28cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 48c | 495.98$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.53 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 39c | 471.93$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.12 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 50c | 419.44$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.72 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbb…45acbacked Under | 51c | 409.51$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Over | 50c | 303.55$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.78 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 48c | 303.54$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.96 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 49c | 299.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.75 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Over | 42c | 290.7$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.35 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99fa…97a9backed Under | 52c | 274.27$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.65 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 45c | 245$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.7 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…d031backed Under | 53c | 239.42$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.53 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Under | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 141 | 55.3%78 W · 63 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 45c | 231.11$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.47 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Under | 53c | 229.84$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.02 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c5…6cb7backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 49c | 199.97$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.99 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe393…f016backed Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 140 | 59.3%83 W · 57 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 47c | 157.45$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.42 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 41c | 151.37$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.19 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Over | 46c | 148.94$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.51 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Over | 33c | 137.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 106 | 37.7%40 W · 66 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 312 | 49.4%154 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 36c | 134.81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.01 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Under | 53c | 129.96$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.88 | 375 | 49.6%186 W · 189 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 59c | 118.89$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Under | 57c | 108.25$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.55 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8f…1ee8backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 228 | 50.9%116 W · 112 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…4bbfbacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 405 | 41%166 W · 239 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Under | 52c | 99.98$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 633 | 53.1%336 W · 297 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4147…902abacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1adb…f12abacked Under | 51c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.53 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b3…091cbacked Over | 49c | 97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.53 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ab…c3acbacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 49c | 94.3$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.21 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 54c | 90.95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.84 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Under | 63c | 87.3$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 127 | 47.2%60 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 43c | 82.35$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.41 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d3…bd58backed Over | 44c | 82.3$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7a…3accbacked Under | 51c | 79.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.83 | 188 | 25%47 W · 141 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Under | 53c | 69.52$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 69.07$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.77 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff5e…a98cbacked Under | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8e…cfbcbacked Under | 53c | 65.06$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Over | 50c | 64.61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.31 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…8a7fbacked Over | 48c | 60.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 140 | 53.6%75 W · 65 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Under | 51c | 57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Under | 53c | 50.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…dddfbacked Under | 66c | 50.72$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb568…14d4backed Under | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -20.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c69…2e8bbacked Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…0af4backed Over | 48c | 48.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Under | 51c | 48.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 179 | 60.9%109 W · 70 L | +17.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2d…cd74backed Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 123 | 64.2%79 W · 44 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Under | 52c | 45.95$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jazz vs. Wizards: O/U 243.5this page
- Ace Bailey: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Jazz vs. WizardsJazz won
- Jazz vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineJazz won
- Jazz vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Wizards: O/U 240.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Wizards: O/U 241.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Wizards: O/U 242.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Wizards: O/U 244.5Under won
- Keyonte George: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Keyonte George: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Keyonte George: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Kyle Filipowski: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Spread: Wizards (-1.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Wizards (-2.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Wizards (-3.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Wizards (-4.5)Jazz won
- Trae Young: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Trae Young: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Trae Young: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Tre Johnson: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Tre Johnson: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.