NBA · resolved market
Jazz vs. Wizards: O/U 244.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde0b46b6ba6b1032a178466a220696658e66682a29c8c2c16539752279f9e494
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,402
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,402 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 0c | 11,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Over | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db9…f398backed Over | 48c | 5,612$2,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,693.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b61…59a0backed Over | 48c | 5,269$2,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,529.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 4,968$2,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,372.68 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9a…217ebacked Under | 52c | 4,730$2,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,270.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5791…6391backed Under | 52c | 3,573$1,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebb2…fbb4backed Under | 52c | 2,578$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Over | 18c | 1,749$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.25 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4af4…f9e0backed Under | 63c | 1,050$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.99 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd1…4649backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Under | 63c | 793.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.89 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 37c | 778.99$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.23 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 45c | 644.83$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.83 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Over | 59c | 600$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Under | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 40c | 552.29$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.76 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 37c | 459$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.83 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 38c | 442.26$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.14 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc7…0602backed Over | 44c | 361.23$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.94 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…b346backed Under | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…d5a3backed Under | 60c | 311.67$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.67 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed Under | 64c | 283.33$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.33 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 41c | 253.52$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.58 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18b2…9141backed Under | 61c | 229.42$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.42 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Under | 60c | 221.34$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.24 | 332 | 58.7%195 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 45c | 215.71$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.02 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x757f…311dbacked Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…e82ebacked Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe393…f016backed Under | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 140 | 59.3%83 W · 57 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Over | 43c | 161.48$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 170 | 35.9%61 W · 109 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Under | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 40c | 122.79$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.41 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 40c | 122.74$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.66 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 46c | 107.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.63 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Under | 61c | 100.52$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 207 | 62.3%129 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Under | 59c | 100.01$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.14 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Under | 60c | 91.66$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.66 | 127 | 47.2%60 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 43c | 90.41$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.47 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Under | 55c | 81.67$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 179 | 60.9%109 W · 70 L | +17.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 41c | 69.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 65c | 65.05$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd506…4f0ebacked Under | 68c | 59.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…8a7fbacked Under | 55c | 52.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb79e…56d0backed Under | 59c | 51.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 280 | 56.8%159 W · 121 L | +22.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 50c | 46.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Over | 41c | 43.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 43c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Over | 43c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 329 | 47.4%156 W · 173 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Under | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1093…d547backed Under | 66c | 30.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 97 | 68%66 W · 31 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…d512backed Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 55c | 29.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3729…d2e5backed Under | 53c | 28.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6efb…01afbacked Under | 60c | 26.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Under | 69c | 24.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…9564backed Under | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under | 55c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc01d…2e79backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf11b…3fe3backed Under | 59c | 17.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jazz vs. Wizards: O/U 244.5this page
- Ace Bailey: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Jazz vs. WizardsJazz won
- Jazz vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineJazz won
- Jazz vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Wizards: O/U 240.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Wizards: O/U 241.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Wizards: O/U 242.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Wizards: O/U 243.5Under won
- Keyonte George: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Keyonte George: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Keyonte George: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Kyle Filipowski: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Spread: Wizards (-1.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Wizards (-2.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Wizards (-3.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Wizards (-4.5)Jazz won
- Trae Young: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Trae Young: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Trae Young: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Tre Johnson: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Tre Johnson: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.