NBA · resolved market
Spread: Wizards (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50d823e1bf81d0a8539194e1e1991c54834b33d247a02ebb2e99db9a720373fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jazzof Wizards, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,110,514
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,110,514 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Jazz | 49c | 489,645$239,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250,216.04 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Wizards | 52c | 300,000$156,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155,999.99 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Wizards | 51c | 150,000$76,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,500 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Wizards | 51c | 150,000$76,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,500 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Jazz | 48c | 110,000$52,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,200 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Jazz | 48c | 75,000$36,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,000 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wizards | 51c | 74,823$38,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,497.74 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Jazz | 48c | 50,000$24,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,000 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Wizards | 53c | 47,170$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Jazz | 48c | 42,384$20,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,883.93 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Wizards | 52c | 30,781$16,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,006.23 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Wizards | 51c | 28,175$14,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,493.14 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Jazz | 48c | 17,652$8,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,178.88 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Jazz | 47c | 9,311$4,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,964.32 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Jazz | 48c | 8,306$3,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,336.76 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wizards | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,160 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Jazz | 48c | 6,312$3,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,282.31 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Wizards | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,180 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Wizards | 53c | 5,472$2,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,895.42 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Jazz | 48c | 5,058$2,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,636.29 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Jazz | 47c | 4,288$2,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,276.75 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Jazz | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Wizards | 51c | 3,400$1,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,734 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Wizards | 52c | 3,291$1,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,695.75 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…87bdbacked Wizards | 54c | 2,778$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Wizards | 52c | 2,100$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00d5…ed84backed Wizards | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.96 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Wizards | 52c | 1,667$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.84 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Wizards | 53c | 1,225$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.25 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Wizards | 53c | 1,073$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.59 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Jazz | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 239 | 38.1%91 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Jazz | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 211 | 39.8%84 W · 127 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Wizards | 52c | 842.44$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Wizards | 52c | 839.21$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.37 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Wizards | 51c | 750$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.5 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf498…3d66backed Wizards | 52c | 727.55$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…5667backed Wizards | 53c | 722.59$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 152 | 53.3%81 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Jazz | 48c | 710.13$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.21 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Jazz | 48c | 706.33$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.33 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…691bbacked Wizards | 53c | 665.76$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd11a…09eebacked Wizards | 53c | 654.94$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347 | 106 | 56.6%60 W · 46 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…4cc6backed Wizards | 53c | 647.43$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 144 | 55.6%80 W · 64 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Jazz | 47c | 637.86$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.06 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Jazz | 50c | 625.98$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.37 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Wizards | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Wizards | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Jazz | 46c | 599.99$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.36 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…815bbacked Wizards | 53c | 579.09$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…00b3backed Wizards | 52c | 568.8$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.67 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…3858backed Wizards | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Jazz | 45c | 511.11$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.11 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…3de8backed Jazz | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Jazz | 47c | 497.24$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.54 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a7…4972backed Jazz | 64c | 494.5$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.61 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b0…48f3backed Wizards | 22c | 451.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Wizards | 52c | 449.97$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.98 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe63d…0545backed Wizards | 53c | 449.51$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.74 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Jazz | 48c | 430.54$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.57 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Jazz | 47c | 379$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.87 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4008…2942backed Wizards | 53c | 364.15$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 182 | 54.4%99 W · 83 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Wizards | 52c | 363$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.76 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Wizards | 54c | 350.11$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.1 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…ba79backed Wizards | 53c | 334.88$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.11 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Jazz | 50c | 320$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Jazz | 47c | 314.84$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.68 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0941…5481backed Wizards | 49c | 304.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ea…066ebacked Wizards | 53c | 299.99$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.99 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb431…b654backed Jazz | 47c | 295.79$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.77 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…f9e3backed Wizards | 53c | 291.46$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.67 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe90…5ce2backed Wizards | 53c | 289.95$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.36 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a4…65c3backed Wizards | 53c | 289.95$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.36 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Wizards | 15c | 271.01$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.58 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…87eabacked Wizards | 53c | 252.86$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.02 | 478 | 52.9%253 W · 225 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a56…3396backed Wizards | 17c | 236.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65d6…6d6bbacked Jazz | 54c | 210.85$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.99 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Wizards | 53c | 210.13$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.39 | 217 | 53%115 W · 102 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Jazz | 48c | 201.25$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.03 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Wizards | 13c | 201.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Jazz | 44c | 199.98$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.99 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Wizards | 53c | 193.28$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.46 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…4b8cbacked Wizards | 53c | 191.5$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.97 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Wizards | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Jazz | 50c | 188.38$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.22 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fa…222bbacked Wizards | 53c | 183.57$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.08 | 182 | 50%91 W · 91 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Jazz | 47c | 177.23$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.43 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88e…a8c6backed Wizards | 53c | 173.26$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.83 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Jazz | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.21 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Wizards | 52c | 160$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…ae72backed Wizards | 53c | 151.75$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef93…9f0dbacked Wizards | 53c | 149.37$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.17 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe45a…46adbacked Wizards | 53c | 145.94$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.35 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Jazz | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02f5…5c6cbacked Wizards | 53c | 136.82$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.36 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Jazz | 50c | 136$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 231 | 43.3%100 W · 131 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked Wizards | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Jazz | 52c | 130.5$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.57 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ec…8fafbacked Wizards | 53c | 130.36$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…2093backed Wizards | 38c | 130$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13b3…e83abacked Wizards | 53c | 130$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.72 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Wizards | 29c | 127.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Wizards (-3.5)this page
- Ace Bailey: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Jazz vs. WizardsJazz won
- Jazz vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineJazz won
- Jazz vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Wizards: O/U 240.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Wizards: O/U 241.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Wizards: O/U 242.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Wizards: O/U 243.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Wizards: O/U 244.5Under won
- Keyonte George: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Keyonte George: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Keyonte George: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Kyle Filipowski: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Spread: Wizards (-1.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Wizards (-2.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Wizards (-4.5)Jazz won
- Trae Young: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Trae Young: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Trae Young: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Tre Johnson: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Tre Johnson: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.