NBA · resolved market
Jazz vs. Wizards: O/U 241.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e65046459fa31f5c1cb750b35fb1185d125be3b639e055a9e6ab26d75c3c5c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,376
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,376 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf05…291bbacked Under | 53c | 4,717$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,216.98 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 56c | 4,174$2,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,851.64 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 43c | 3,986$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720.17 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 3,963$1,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890.98 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 47c | 3,194$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.82 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 54c | 3,087$1,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.44 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Under | 51c | 2,745$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.1 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 52c | 1,470$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.39 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 11c | 470.15$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 48c | 414.56$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.99 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d5…1232backed Under | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Over | 45c | 202.81$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.75 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4008…2942backed Under | 53c | 182.08$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.58 | 182 | 54.4%99 W · 83 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Under | 57c | 113.78$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 342 | 48.8%167 W · 175 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 50c | 106.6$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Under | 56c | 106.46$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.59 | 127 | 47.2%60 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 47c | 73.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.66 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 41c | 68.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 47c | 47.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d51…7317backed Over | 48c | 41.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 52c | 41.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 51c | 37.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…7528backed Under | 57c | 34.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -11.0wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 48c | 32.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1adb…f12abacked Under | 51c | 32.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b3…091cbacked Over | 49c | 32.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 49c | 27.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4eb…05b5backed Under | 51c | 20.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87b0…8af8backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jazz vs. Wizards: O/U 241.5this page
- Ace Bailey: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Jazz vs. WizardsJazz won
- Jazz vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineJazz won
- Jazz vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Wizards: O/U 240.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Wizards: O/U 242.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Wizards: O/U 243.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Wizards: O/U 244.5Under won
- Keyonte George: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Keyonte George: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Keyonte George: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Kyle Filipowski: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Spread: Wizards (-1.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Wizards (-2.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Wizards (-3.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Wizards (-4.5)Jazz won
- Trae Young: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Trae Young: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Trae Young: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Tre Johnson: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Tre Johnson: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.