TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 118.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$29,464

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,464 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1f09…9312backed Under53c4,264$2,260 inWon+$2,004.159547.4%45 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Under53c3,093$1,628 inWon+$1,464.51,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over47c3,024$1,421 inLost-$1,421.285,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Over48c1,042$500 inLost-$50018448.9%90 W · 94 L-13.3wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Over47c1,023$481 inLost-$48115141.1%62 W · 89 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Over47c915.53$430 inLost-$430.348956.4%276 W · 213 L+31.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Under53c800$423 inWon+$376.5716148.4%78 W · 83 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over47c797.54$374 inLost-$374.322,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Over47c712.6$335 inLost-$334.8717144.4%76 W · 95 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Over47c451.06$212 inLost-$2125558.2%32 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xac9e…cca3backed Over47c225.53$106 inLost-$1063545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Under54c185.04$99 inWon+$85.8292058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under59c103.07$60 inWon+$42.723,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Under53c94.34$50 inWon+$44.3497049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23e1…d8eabacked Over41c70.71$29 inLost-$28.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Over47c63.83$30 inLost-$3055444.4%246 W · 308 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9651…0488backed Over47c44.68$21 inLost-$216245.2%28 W · 34 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3f9…0975backed Over50c39.89$20 inLost-$204231%13 W · 29 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-30.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Under53c37.74$20 inWon+$17.7440344.4%179 W · 224 L-23.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5767…8cc1backed Over46c34.28$16 inLost-$15.771,08442.4%460 W · 624 L-48.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Over46c33$15 inLost-$15.1862049%304 W · 316 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a1f…eb43backed Over59c28.81$17 inLost-$171225%3 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-50.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Over47c21.28$10 inLost-$1091746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.