NBA · resolved market
Jazz vs. Wizards: O/U 240.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x989a5536f587ee38f4e8421c5f6605557764502a59b1e296e0298c3023839bd5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $238,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $238,995 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a57…2afabacked Under | 51c | 58,598$29,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,872.16 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Over | 49c | 29,749$14,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,595.38 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Over | 51c | 26,464$13,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,496.56 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 49c | 17,204$8,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,690.47 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 52c | 11,050$5,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,790.52 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 52c | 9,000$4,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,649.98 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 50c | 8,266$4,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,132.86 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,159.99 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 49c | 7,427$3,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,786.94 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa94f…4249backed Under | 42c | 6,694$2,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,882.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Over | 50c | 5,898$2,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,948.78 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Over | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 52c | 4,610$2,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,385.5 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Under | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.67 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Under | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…e150backed Over | 58c | 3,925$2,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,276.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 9c | 3,258$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.39 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0365…aef3backed Over | 58c | 2,769$1,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,606.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Under | 49c | 2,738$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.15 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 51c | 2,665$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.84 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 56c | 2,461$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.47 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 58c | 2,372$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.94 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under | 46c | 2,279$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.73 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 2,212$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.12 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Under | 51c | 2,200$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Under | 49c | 1,900$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 50c | 1,835$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.5 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 54c | 1,777$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.8 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 8c | 1,683$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.4 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 50c | 1,460$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 50c | 1,388$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.88 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 50c | 1,300$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Over | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 331 | 46.2%153 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Under | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691f…5e69backed Over | 53c | 1,167$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.68 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab65…4a03backed Under | 50c | 1,140$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 1,089$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.97 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6eb…5402backed Over | 57c | 1,009$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 240 | 50.8%122 W · 118 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 51c | 995.06$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.26 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over | 50c | 860.22$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.11 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed Under | 50c | 820$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 801.6$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.57 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd12…5503backed Under | 23c | 800$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 46c | 797.8$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.48 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 52c | 769$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.88 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under | 48c | 720$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.4 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 49c | 715.44$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.87 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 49c | 690.67$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.24 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 28c | 599.43$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.86 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Over | 50c | 596.28$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.14 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x955f…2a6fbacked Over | 51c | 588.38$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.07 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Under | 49c | 587.76$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.76 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Over | 57c | 540.52$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.1 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Over | 50c | 452$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 62c | 442.61$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.29 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b4…e861backed Over | 57c | 426.63$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.18 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 45c | 402.23$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.81 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78f4…4a4abacked Under | 20c | 400$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +6.8wins | +0.36per pick | 27cpaid | +124.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…8170backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86d9…b214backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 49c | 373.95$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.64 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 54c | 353.21$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.58 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 46c | 347.62$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.69 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Under | 46c | 322.21$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.68 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Over | 49c | 251$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.99 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 54c | 236.53$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 49c | 236.21$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.17 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Under | 49c | 227$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.94 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x434e…a62ebacked Over | 45c | 224.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe46c…8526backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d94…593ebacked Under | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +9.3wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +291%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xefbb…8205backed Under | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 52c | 199.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.99 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6276…7f2ebacked Under | 64c | 188.75$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.75 | 191 | 66.5%127 W · 64 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 55c | 182.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.17 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 295 | 54.6%161 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…d031backed Over | 54c | 171.82$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 46c | 169.27$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.98 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed Under | 63c | 149.76$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 54c | 126.69$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.41 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Under | 50c | 125.58$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.3 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 48c | 124.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.99 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ab…c3acbacked Under | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Over | 42c | 110.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.12 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 51c | 108.82$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.69 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Under | 50c | 108.03$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.02 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 58c | 106.72$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.9 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jazz vs. Wizards: O/U 240.5this page
- Ace Bailey: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Jazz vs. WizardsJazz won
- Jazz vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineJazz won
- Jazz vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Wizards: O/U 241.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Wizards: O/U 242.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Wizards: O/U 243.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Wizards: O/U 244.5Under won
- Keyonte George: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Keyonte George: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Keyonte George: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Kyle Filipowski: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Spread: Wizards (-1.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Wizards (-2.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Wizards (-3.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Wizards (-4.5)Jazz won
- Trae Young: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Trae Young: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Trae Young: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Tre Johnson: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Tre Johnson: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.