NBA · resolved market

Spread: Wizards (-4.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c8c4e4fb56bc13761855b790a66d8367371e532eab538db3fea40add4a5143b

Rebuilt 1 minute ago.

Winning outcome: Jazzof Wizards, Jazz
Resolved: Mar 6, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $487,299

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $487,299 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8f03…64d6backed Wizards	49c	319,354$156,483 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156,483.24	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Jazz	51c	310,549$158,370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152,178.75	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Jazz	53c	44,306$23,482 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,823.91	172	51.7%89 W · 83 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Wizards	47c	29,000$13,663 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,662.6	354	50.8%180 W · 174 L	+12.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Wizards	49c	25,306$12,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,400	266	48.5%129 W · 137 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Wizards	48c	14,774$7,092 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,091.56	382	51%195 W · 187 L	+8.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Jazz	51c	12,014$6,127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,887.1	662	48.5%321 W · 341 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Jazz	52c	11,538$6,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,538.46	334	47.9%160 W · 174 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Jazz	50c	10,579$5,290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,289.56	382	53.4%204 W · 178 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Jazz	50c	10,000$5,025 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,975.2	773	48.5%375 W · 398 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed0…a9c5backed Wizards	50c	10,000$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	39	41%16 W · 23 L	-4.6wins	-0.12per pick	53cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Wizards	47c	9,226$4,352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,351.85	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Jazz	51c	8,000$4,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,920	584	49.7%290 W · 294 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83ab…3d56backed Wizards	47c	8,000$3,760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,760	93	43%40 W · 53 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc33a…3da3backed Wizards	50c	6,400$3,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,200	97	41.2%40 W · 57 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Jazz	51c	6,335$3,234 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,101.64	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wizards	47c	5,635$2,676 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,676.25	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Jazz	52c	5,000$2,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,400	824	42.2%348 W · 476 L	-3.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Jazz	53c	4,282$2,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,031.57	348	54%188 W · 160 L	+15.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Jazz	51c	4,000$2,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,960	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Wizards	50c	4,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Jazz	51c	3,000$1,530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,470	480	54.2%260 W · 220 L	+14.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Jazz	52c	2,500$1,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,200	1,332	51.2%682 W · 650 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed Wizards	49c	2,041$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	81	58%47 W · 34 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Wizards	49c	2,041$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	266	37.2%99 W · 167 L	-10.5wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Wizards	47c	2,000$940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$940	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Jazz	52c	1,931$997 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$933.99	1,197	48.9%585 W · 612 L	-14.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Jazz	51c	1,923$981 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$942.15	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Jazz	52c	1,910$1,002 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$908.45	423	48%203 W · 220 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Wizards	47c	1,590$747 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$747.3	927	53.5%496 W · 431 L	+20.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Jazz	51c	1,567$799 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$767.94	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Wizards	50c	1,500$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	507	54.2%275 W · 232 L	+13.6wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1537…c480backed Jazz	51c	1,187$605 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$581.42	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb44f…8c20backed Jazz	53c	1,085$575 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$509.91	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Wizards	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	1,259	48.7%613 W · 646 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Jazz	54c	926$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$425.96	119	42.9%51 W · 68 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Wizards	48c	847.91$407 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$407	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Wizards	47c	638.29$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	649	44.7%290 W · 359 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x198c…6a94backed Wizards	49c	612.24$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	119	46.2%55 W · 64 L	-6.0wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Wizards	48c	451.92$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.44	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23d5…1232backed Wizards	49c	406$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Jazz	52c	400$208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192	910	50.9%463 W · 447 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Jazz	51c	399.99$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196	227	46.3%105 W · 122 L	-8.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked Jazz	52c	384.62$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.62	129	51.9%67 W · 62 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Jazz	51c	330.44$169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$161.92	488	52%254 W · 234 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Jazz	52c	310.54$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.23	927	50.6%469 W · 458 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Jazz	52c	309.42$159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.97	628	44.9%282 W · 346 L	-21.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Wizards	49c	299.89$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.26	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Wizards	48c	271.1$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.13	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Wizards	48c	267.12$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.4	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x50e3…c0bbbacked Jazz	52c	219.21$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.21	38	60.5%23 W · 15 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a67…0b8abacked Jazz	51c	219$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.31	239	50.6%121 W · 118 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jazz	50c	218.92$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.41	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Jazz	52c	211.42$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.48	40	47.5%19 W · 21 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Wizards	49c	207.76$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.81	308	45.8%141 W · 167 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Wizards	49c	205$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.45	786	52.4%412 W · 374 L	+14.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe46c…8526backed Wizards	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	41	39%16 W · 25 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Jazz	53c	200$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94	619	57.5%356 W · 263 L	+21.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Wizards	49c	200$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	558	46.8%261 W · 297 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Jazz	51c	199.99$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98	911	48.1%438 W · 473 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61d8…b596backed Jazz	51c	196.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.08	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa11d…72a8backed Jazz	52c	192.31$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.31	106	45.3%48 W · 58 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf986…6833backed Jazz	52c	170.83$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.1	98	50%49 W · 49 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2482…a721backed Jazz	52c	159.69$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.32	76	46.1%35 W · 41 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1e9…6d8ebacked Wizards	50c	150$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	154	46.1%71 W · 83 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Jazz	52c	134.62$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.62	818	45.7%374 W · 444 L	+9.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Wizards	45c	130.59$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.95	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Wizards	48c	125$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.58	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c33…d620backed Jazz	54c	124.75$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.25	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Wizards	50c	123.11$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.56	765	52.9%405 W · 360 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Wizards	49c	122.44$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Wizards	46c	121.64$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.95	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86d9…b214backed Wizards	50c	120$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	218	54.6%119 W · 99 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3a2…ff3bbacked Wizards	50c	119.86$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.93	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.5wins	-0.11per pick	54cpaid	-22%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Jazz	52c	116.49$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.88	576	50%288 W · 288 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d78…7b8dbacked Jazz	70c	111.71$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.68	77	54.5%42 W · 35 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Wizards	47c	104.17$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.96	140	53.6%75 W · 65 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Jazz	51c	102$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.98	282	43.3%122 W · 160 L	-13.1wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xedde…7753backed Wizards	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	65	50.8%33 W · 32 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8de5…e8bbbacked Jazz	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	131	54.2%71 W · 60 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9691…ff48backed Wizards	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Jazz	52c	99$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.52	1,634	48.1%786 W · 848 L	+5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a2e…3ef0backed Jazz	51c	98.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.04	263	45.6%120 W · 143 L	-5.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Jazz	51c	98.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.04	335	54.6%183 W · 152 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Jazz	52c	96$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.37	539	45.3%244 W · 295 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f64…4b91backed Wizards	49c	92.08$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.83	25	64%16 W · 9 L	+2.1wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x584c…0da9backed Jazz	52c	92$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.16	118	47.5%56 W · 62 L	-5.9wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Jazz	52c	78.46$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.66	762	50.4%384 W · 378 L	+3.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xb9cf…8a4fbacked Wizards	47c	63.83$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	25	24%6 W · 19 L	-6.7wins	-0.27per pick	51cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Wizards	38c	60$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.6	177	47.5%84 W · 93 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63e3…8d11backed Wizards	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.12per pick	55cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95fe…3896backed Jazz	51c	58.82$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.82	170	46.5%79 W · 91 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Jazz	53c	56.6$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.6	384	53.4%205 W · 179 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3100…9bc9backed Jazz	51c	56.42$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.65	180	43.3%78 W · 102 L	-9.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Wizards	48c	52.08$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	529	51.2%271 W · 258 L	+13.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xae94…7efbbacked Wizards	49c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.5	587	54.7%321 W · 266 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Jazz	51c	50$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.5	220	44.5%98 W · 122 L	-14.2wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb83d…3aa2backed Jazz	51c	49.02$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.02	240	42.9%103 W · 137 L	-9.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0cf5…b8efbacked Jazz	51c	49.02$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.02	103	50.5%52 W · 51 L	+4.0wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Jazz	53c	45$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.15	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Wizards (-4.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event