TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0c33…d620

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
57
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Weather, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 53 out of 100; worst Middle East at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Memphis Tigers vs. Tulane Green Wavebacked Memphis Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+73.5%+$16.4
Spread: Navy Midshipmen (-7.5)backed Boston Terriers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+81.9%+$12.18
Spread: Navy Midshipmen (-6.5)backed Boston Terriers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+92.4%+$22.89
Spread: Monmouth Hawks (-3.5)backed Drexel Dragons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.87
Spread: Monmouth Hawks (-4.5)backed Drexel Dragons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.87
Louisville Cardinals vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+104.1%+$25.79
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-16.5)backed Arizona State Sun Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$24.78
Spread: Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-1.5)backed Boston College Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+92.3%+$20.59
Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-4.5)backed Ohio Bobcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+83.3%+$14.44
Spread: West Virginia Mountaineers (-3.5)backed West Virginia Mountaineers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+82.7%+$20.49
Charleston Southern Buccaneers vs. Winthrop Eaglesbacked Winthrop Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+69.5%+$17.23
Spread: Northeastern Huskies (-1.5)backed North Carolina A&T Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$24.78
Northeastern Huskies vs. North Carolina A&T Aggiesbacked North Carolina A&T Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$24.78
Spread: Central Arkansas Bears (-6.5)backed Central Arkansas Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+85.2%+$21.11
Spread: Southern Illinois Salukis (-4.5)backed Drake Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+66%+$34.37
Spread: Florida Gulf Coast Eagles (-7.5)backed North Alabama Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14.87
Jacksonville Dolphins vs. Bellarmine Knightsbacked Jacksonville Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14.87
All 17 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-34.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-27.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-29.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.6
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+41%+$105.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-33%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BIG vs illwill - Map 2 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+34%+$13.71
Counter-Strike: magic vs TDK - Map 2 Winnerbacked TDK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+440.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+440.5%+$110.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$37.74
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.