Tennis · resolved market
Hersonissos: Toby Samuel vs Raul Brancaccio
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78b1537cbfcb09f8c22f1958a1f2126b475ea81fe72877c5c220e164d770aaeb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toby Samuelof Toby Samuel, Raul Brancaccio
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,853
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Raul Brancaccio | 25c | 25,594$6,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,453.6 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Toby Samuel | 73c | 10,027$7,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,664.75 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Toby Samuel | 75c | 7,759$5,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.8 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Raul Brancaccio | 21c | 4,714$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.82 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Toby Samuel | 78c | 4,483$3,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.3 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Toby Samuel | 77c | 2,973$2,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Toby Samuel | 75c | 1,982$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.57 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Toby Samuel | 70c | 1,688$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.94 | 386 | 52.3%202 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Raul Brancaccio | 20c | 1,571$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.37 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x795f…fbdabacked Raul Brancaccio | 10c | 1,020$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.4 | 114 | 17.5%20 W · 94 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Raul Brancaccio | 19c | 892$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.78 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Raul Brancaccio | 22c | 622$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.46 | 347 | 44.4%154 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Toby Samuel | 67c | 550$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.76 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Raul Brancaccio | 23c | 546$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.1 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Raul Brancaccio | 22c | 502.55$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.59 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Raul Brancaccio | 20c | 472$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.05 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Raul Brancaccio | 22c | 467$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.16 | 372 | 30.4%113 W · 259 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Raul Brancaccio | 24c | 432.63$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.83 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f2…a822backed Toby Samuel | 76c | 417.6$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.22 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Raul Brancaccio | 23c | 402.5$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.25 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Toby Samuel | 80c | 350$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Raul Brancaccio | 16c | 304.32$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Toby Samuel | 74c | 286.05$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.37 | 799 | 51.1%408 W · 391 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Raul Brancaccio | 32c | 268.38$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.64 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Toby Samuel | 75c | 232.85$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.36 | 175 | 52.6%92 W · 83 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa288…401cbacked Toby Samuel | 75c | 196.75$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.29 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +6.3wins | +0.31per pick | 54cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Toby Samuel | 75c | 187.02$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.67 | 451 | 47.2%213 W · 238 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Toby Samuel | 73c | 156$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.36 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa446…d9c6backed Toby Samuel | 77c | 137.13$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.54 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Raul Brancaccio | 14c | 118.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Toby Samuel | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Raul Brancaccio | 14c | 95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Toby Samuel | 77c | 92.21$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 401 | 61.1%245 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Toby Samuel | 76c | 90$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Raul Brancaccio | 23c | 79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe3…1f2abacked Toby Samuel | 79c | 78.48$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 121 | 62%75 W · 46 L | -14.3wins | -0.12per pick | 74cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Toby Samuel | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d62…8fb4backed Raul Brancaccio | 21c | 60.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…a896backed Raul Brancaccio | 21c | 56.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e3…40a0backed Toby Samuel | 77c | 55.68$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…068dbacked Toby Samuel | 75c | 53.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86dc…2570backed Toby Samuel | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Raul Brancaccio | 24c | 49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 182 | 33.5%61 W · 121 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Toby Samuel | 78c | 48.38$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…4e3dbacked Toby Samuel | 74c | 41.49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 38cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…2be5backed Toby Samuel | 79c | 36.81$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee75…f59abacked Toby Samuel | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c33…d620backed Toby Samuel | 75c | 26.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a2…d591backed Toby Samuel | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Toby Samuel | 77c | 22.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb076…5911backed Toby Samuel | 77c | 16.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.