South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Barcelona SC win on 2026-03-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5c18e1802c74a05c2375c107e649356a35c135fd985a15f6f262e3ba9f99028
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,537
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,132
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,537 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 37c | 2,737$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.23 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 2,549$1,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.55 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf24e…080dbacked No | 65c | 1,437$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.33 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +4.9wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +37%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6395…d69dbacked Yes | 38c | 1,380$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.3 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 37c | 785.99$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.95 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 35c | 700$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 60c | 530.18$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.87 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 37c | 419.94$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.49 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Yes | 37c | 400$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 40c | 376.35$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x635f…6be6backed Yes | 38c | 347.07$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d70…0593backed Yes | 36c | 314.5$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 313.11$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.85 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed No | 63c | 295.38$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.29 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 9c | 211.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 62c | 153.47$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.44 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 33c | 151.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed No | 34c | 148.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.36 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 48c | 142.37$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.17 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 38c | 132.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Yes | 39c | 129.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 63c | 125$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.25 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.99 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 63c | 84.38$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 63c | 82.31$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 60c | 75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 135 | 57%77 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed No | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c33…d620backed Yes | 66c | 54.32$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.66 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed Yes | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -9.5wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked No | 25c | 52.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.61 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16d3…b1ecbacked Yes | 75c | 44.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…4e3dbacked Yes | 55c | 43.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed No | 60c | 38.74$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 33c | 33.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6624…5a93backed No | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed No | 48c | 26.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Yes | 64c | 23.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed No | 68c | 21.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…068dbacked Yes | 65c | 20.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…d6c0backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…2afcbacked No | 66c | 15.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Barcelona SC win on 2026-03-03?this page
- Will Barcelona SC vs. Botafogo FR end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-03-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.