South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Barcelona SC vs. Botafogo FR end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xccc80faa64cc4354f945ba3f23b66a019ca30a2c660f92392c33734289a75ea7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,539
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,957
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,539 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 72c | 2,148$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 28c | 1,980$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,427.46 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 66c | 1,117$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.22 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 30c | 877.44$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.68 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 580.35$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.2 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 22c | 446.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.64 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 59c | 401.63$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.97 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 32c | 393$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.63 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 75c | 276.52$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.27 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 69c | 151.18$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.01 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 28c | 150$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.36 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 69c | 125.13$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.34 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 22c | 98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a37…6656backed Yes | 33c | 46.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5683…3ea1backed No | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 68c | 44.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…8a52backed Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 74c | 35.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe856…4711backed Yes | 32c | 35.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.16 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 52cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 56c | 22.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…2d57backed No | 67c | 19.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 114 | 61.4%70 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Barcelona SC vs. Botafogo FR end in a draw?this page
- Will Barcelona SC win on 2026-03-03?No won
- Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-03-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.