TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$134,439

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,439 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xabb8…bba3backed Under69c36,753$25,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,278.132339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a78…8f87backed Under0c33,000$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick41cpaid-15.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over28c21,402$6,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,306.116,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9a95…2b65backed Over32c7,200$2,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,905.45366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick31cpaid+180%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under70c2,005$1,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,394.452,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under53c1,615$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855.146943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Over21c1,524$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,203.969733%32 W · 65 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over31c1,469$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.974924.5%12 W · 37 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Under50c1,376$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.254252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over31c1,129$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.0335428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Under69c999.99$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.9920448.5%99 W · 105 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under68c996$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.8896645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under69c904.99$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.4585048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over42c863.92$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.771,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Under76c855.26$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65030050.7%152 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x97c7…dddfbacked Under24c673.35$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.862147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Over30c660$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4625345.3%24 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over20c552.95$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.3623926.4%63 W · 176 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa42…2ff3backed Under70c520$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.44216.7%7 W · 35 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick10cpaid+80.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over31c515.34$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.581,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over30c500$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3504129.3%12 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+39%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Under18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905650%28 W · 28 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc91…0fdbbacked Under72c368.06$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26518265.9%120 W · 62 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over30c340$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23830059.7%179 W · 121 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x214d…f5aabacked Over30c340$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+45.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.339724.7%24 W · 73 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.3319826.3%52 W · 146 L-14.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over50c312.99$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.442,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Under71c300$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2136157.4%35 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Over29c299.99$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.999953.5%53 W · 46 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over31c287$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.3828242.2%119 W · 163 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x307d…6865backed Under68c263$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.243745.9%17 W · 20 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-10%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over29c253.85$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.2120758%120 W · 87 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over29c250$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.596443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over29c250$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.51,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over29c250$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.51,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under69c245.4$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.3549753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe0f4…5107backed Under73c231.26$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.821258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick61cpaid+9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over30c203.38$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.3727748.7%135 W · 142 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under69c200$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13823353.6%125 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Under72c173.61$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1255160.8%31 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over13c166$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.8261441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf15…7893backed Under70c158.21$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.74742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7693…ba75backed Over29c152.99$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.62425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over56c144.1$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.7719356%108 W · 85 L+21.4wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc4c1…185cbacked Over14c142.86$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.863135.5%11 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under71c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006357.1%36 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a0c…0852backed Under71c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004362.8%27 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under47c140$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.830149.5%149 W · 152 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over29c135$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.8575850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over28c126$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.3420143.8%88 W · 113 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over32c112.5$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.514551.7%75 W · 70 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Under70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705747.4%27 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c16…c36fbacked Over12c100$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882433.3%8 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+44%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Under70c99.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9918052.2%94 W · 86 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd859…38c5backed Over21c97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.631315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over22c95.45$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.4511839.8%47 W · 71 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0cf…6639backed Over30c87$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.92045%9 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9572…ea8ebacked Under71c87$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.771233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-42%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed Over29c86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.064245.2%19 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+35.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c77…8f06backed Under71c84.51$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605459.3%32 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under13c78.02$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4861143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c33…d620backed Under60c75.31$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb94…6ef0backed Under71c70.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502972.4%21 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9796…9032backed Over31c68.77$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.454228.6%12 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over29c65.18$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.281,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ad1…c06dbacked Over28c63.82$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.951838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over45c55.87$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.631,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over39c51.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.774156.8%421 W · 320 L+46.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5500…da1bbacked Under71c50.7$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+34.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfd6…05cbbacked Over28c50.46$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.442560%15 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+25.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under72c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3620956%117 W · 92 L+15.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+24.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6c66…5ab3backed Over30c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under71c46.52$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1241343.3%179 W · 234 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Over30c45.61$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.7842658%247 W · 179 L+24.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2fc9…81ecbacked Under70c43.76$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x819b…6a57backed Under70c42.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa2…b8e3backed Under48c42.58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.441625%4 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-43.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9c1c…b4f1backed Under71c42.25$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304047.5%19 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x08cd…4edbbacked Over31c41.94$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.941266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+59.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Under70c41.6$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.129949.5%49 W · 50 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd066…9eecbacked Over30c40$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2812945.7%59 W · 70 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5004…c07bbacked Over31c38.71$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.714353.5%23 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cc0…65a2backed Over31c38.71$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.711258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Over28c36$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9254128.3%153 W · 388 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe497…1e6fbacked Under71c34.83$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.73944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked Over46c33.4$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.975160.8%31 W · 20 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa488…91c3backed Under50c33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.543565.7%23 W · 12 L+4.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+30.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2559…053bbacked Under70c32.77$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.94728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick59cpaid-49.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4c8d…c1cbbacked Under73c31.52$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-8.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xac76…9359backed Under72c25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a67…0b8abacked Under71c22$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.623540%14 W · 21 L-4.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-24.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4cea…0685backed Under71c21.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf112…21ebbacked Under71c20.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.65046%23 W · 27 L-7.2wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-28.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc681…8bf9backed Under71c20.03$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1019455.2%107 W · 87 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5af3…1534backed Under71c19.72$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148548.2%41 W · 44 L-8.3wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under71c19.52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8613152.7%69 W · 62 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Under68c17.13$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6520763.8%132 W · 75 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.