Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20ea898b3ac02a266af8c7c8a08a806be950a2e572a0e9011b8b0973fdd736bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Crystal Palace FCof Tottenham Hotspur FC, Crystal Palace FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,760
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,760 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x39a5…c9a1backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 7c | 6,797$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 7c | 3,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60d…761abacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 5c | 1,395$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 7c | 1,248$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.81 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03a1…8f46backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 8c | 1,163$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 34cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 7c | 846$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.26 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x655e…f22bbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 7c | 700$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…bf80backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f51…7b9ebacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 7c | 342.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa18…9869backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 7c | 196$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 12cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc74…9905backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 7c | 185.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 7c | 154$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 740 | 56.9%421 W · 319 L | +46.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-2.5)this page
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)Crystal Palace FC won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-2.5)Tottenham Hotspur FC won
- Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)Crystal Palace FC won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.