TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$132,808

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,808 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under31c35,473$11,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,327.656,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under18c4,888$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,008.144240.5%17 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Over55c4,217$2,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,338.031662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+32.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed Over74c3,907$2,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,887.576953.6%37 W · 32 L-7.3wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-18.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4cac…1695backed Under21c3,400$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,702.951250%6 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30f4…8c1ebacked Under38c2,651$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,651.081154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+56.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a78…8f87backed Over75c2,612$1,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,949812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick41cpaid-15.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Over19c2,464$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.449733%32 W · 65 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x655e…f22bbacked Over14c1,950$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27340%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over39c1,643$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.8446943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18c4…f6dcbacked Over75c1,499$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.32277.3%17 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under33c1,486$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.471,92342.4%815 W · 1,108 L-42.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97c7…dddfbacked Under33c1,461$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.032147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over15c1,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004924.5%12 W · 37 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf05…291bbacked Under30c1,333$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933.33666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+59.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5849…dcf1backed Under19c1,294$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,048.31330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over72c1,108$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80035347.6%168 W · 185 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x00b2…6cb7backed Over51c1,050$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5322744.4%12 W · 15 L-5.8wins-0.21per pick66cpaid-28.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Under44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5601973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15035028.9%101 W · 249 L-19.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x478a…2deabacked Under54c899.99$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4164975.5%37 W · 12 L+8.3wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+29.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1104…39fabacked Over79c864.46$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.721330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick43cpaid+28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over34c847.54$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2894738.3%18 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over56c800$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45026548.3%128 W · 137 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Under50c780$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3902236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under46c770.43$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.6774056.9%421 W · 319 L+46.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under67c732.48$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.7743241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over15c701.92$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.5930059.7%179 W · 121 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc74…9905backed Over14c636.98$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.18333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid-32%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf715…bbf0backed Over14c605.99$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.8410112.9%13 W · 88 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick20cpaid-46.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x07a4…b920backed Over54c599.67$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.821250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over39c575.05$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.222,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bc3…0b17backed Over73c542.15$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.773354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over14c500$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704129.3%12 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+39%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over51c490.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25026344.9%118 W · 145 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Under28c471.78$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.583759.5%22 W · 15 L+7.3wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+47.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x03a1…8f46backed Under19c447.37$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.37955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick34cpaid+109.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over14c428.54$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6027748.7%135 W · 142 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Under49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20410874.1%80 W · 28 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under15c395.12$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.8620040.5%81 W · 119 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under21c390$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.67162%44 W · 27 L+8.4wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+24.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc51a…7ad9backed Over50c376.35$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.213240.6%13 W · 19 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-18.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over56c350$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19623632.2%76 W · 160 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a4a…044ebacked Over73c343.26$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.581070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4db9…14f5backed Over53c330.19$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1754835.4%17 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over14c328.57$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4619826.3%52 W · 146 L-14.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under32c323.59$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.5320758%120 W · 87 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over15c300$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd859…38c5backed Over14c300$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9726…349fbacked Over67c295.55$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1993545.7%16 W · 19 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+45.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under40c286.18$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.4961143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked Over14c278.07$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.939929.3%29 W · 70 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked Over73c272.6$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1998048.8%39 W · 41 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Over75c267.49$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.629446.8%44 W · 50 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over80c264$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.25056%28 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under42c228.48$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.6249753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016731.7%53 W · 114 L-18.5wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8745…4658backed Over60c183.23$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.941450%7 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0632…d1b7backed Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003534.3%12 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Under38c171.7$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.735747.4%27 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1080…142abacked Over75c157.33$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118219.5%2 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.22per pick32cpaid-81.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Over66c150$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfff…cbddbacked Over60c150$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5f1…2867backed Under49c149.99$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfd6…05cbbacked Under71c149.19$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.882560%15 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+25.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6cf7…cb5bbacked Over75c148.72$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.011782.4%14 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick64cpaid+38.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2ae3…af5dbacked Over53c146.23$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.51258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a9d…a968backed Over75c139.16$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.37771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over73c137.88$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025049.6%124 W · 126 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7baf…99a7backed Over25c134.45$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34319.7%3 W · 28 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-46.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Under63c133.73$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4824062.5%150 W · 90 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbec3…760ebacked Over21c130$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.33154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5683…3ea1backed Over79c126.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003661.1%22 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a95…2b65backed Under19c125$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick31cpaid+180%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f36…1df7backed Under20c125$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick21cpaid+177.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under57c124.78$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3541243.4%179 W · 233 L-1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0115…ca23backed Over75c117.87$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.420%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda35…b894backed Over71c114.87$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.976045%27 W · 33 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-14.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Over54c114.81$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624837.5%18 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Over61c112.2$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.762737%10 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over18c111.07$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4716251.2%83 W · 79 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Over26c107.69$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2824844.4%110 W · 138 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under19c105.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.2613550.4%68 W · 67 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.173145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c1…185cbacked Over54c101.96$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553135.5%11 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52bd…1a8abacked Over73c100.39$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.286845.6%31 W · 37 L-7.4wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-20.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4fb4…8830backed Over15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155334%18 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Over51c96.08$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4916045.6%73 W · 87 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7700…2d07backed Under21c95.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.24837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33c8…68d7backed Over57c94.74$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544022.5%9 W · 31 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-39.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ff2…1c10backed Over63c90$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.75949.2%29 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Over12c87.59$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.771145.5%5 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick27cpaid+2.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over62c85.48$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5320644.7%92 W · 114 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over60c81.67$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499339.8%37 W · 56 L-8.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x370c…3eb1backed Under43c81.64$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.591855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd84b…0df3backed Under19c77.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.711850%9 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+57.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under33c77.38$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1242658%247 W · 179 L+24.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb51f…b7dbbacked Under26c76.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.921266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+63.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4929…b9f9backed Over51c71.84$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.643943.6%17 W · 22 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-12.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.