Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb6ad9a8e14f7f11dbdae119baec3c6a09d1d8c275e3f657975f337e1114100a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Crystal Palace FCof Crystal Palace FC, Tottenham Hotspur FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,237
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,237 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xad06…2dfabacked Crystal Palace FC | 14c | 23,809$3,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,439.86 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 77c | 13,776$10,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,575.39 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked Crystal Palace FC | 14c | 4,110$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,534.85 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 21c | 3,386$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.82 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e8…bfbbbacked Crystal Palace FC | 13c | 2,499$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,174.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +669.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Crystal Palace FC | 14c | 876$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.36 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Crystal Palace FC | 19c | 474.06$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.12 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 19c | 457.49$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.56 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03a1…8f46backed Crystal Palace FC | 14c | 435.71$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.71 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 34cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 21c | 348.81$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.58 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Crystal Palace FC | 67c | 332.96$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.49 | 162 | 38.3%62 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Crystal Palace FC | 14c | 285.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.71 | 181 | 24.9%45 W · 136 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Crystal Palace FC | 69c | 250.84$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 20c | 214.17$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.83 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +110.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 11c | 188.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 408 | 21.8%89 W · 319 L | -53.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 21c | 157.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 272 | 27.9%76 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Crystal Palace FC | 14c | 150$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Crystal Palace FC | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.86 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 80c | 128.01$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.19 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Crystal Palace FC | 14c | 125.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.16 | 170 | 48.8%83 W · 87 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb952…3561backed Crystal Palace FC | 14c | 121$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 29cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Crystal Palace FC | 14c | 106.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.83 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Crystal Palace FC | 15c | 106.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.67 | 286 | 33.9%97 W · 189 L | +19.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…bf80backed Crystal Palace FC | 14c | 100.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.42 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Crystal Palace FC | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…91c3backed Crystal Palace FC | 78c | 87$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7e…5705backed Crystal Palace FC | 14c | 78.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 68c | 77.41$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.76 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Crystal Palace FC | 13c | 77$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ee…9ac3backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…dddfbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 62c | 49.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Crystal Palace FC | 65c | 28.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 58c | 24.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 56c | 24.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 413 | 43.3%179 W · 234 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-2.5)Tottenham Hotspur FC won
- Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)Crystal Palace FC won
- Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-2.5)Crystal Palace FC won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.