TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,030,078

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,030,078 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 380 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x036c…178dbacked Over50c221,364$110,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110,504.033740.5%15 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-24.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd12c…f2d4backed Under50c201,420$100,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100,454.021457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Under50c106,469$52,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,927.692339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Under50c90,000$45,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,000862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+39.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over50c81,202$40,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,211.276,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd9c4…6f95backed Under49c80,256$39,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,313.6316040.6%65 W · 95 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb904…c255backed Over50c50,026$25,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,013.153946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6a78…8f87backed Under0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick41cpaid-15.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x90a1…73d6backed Over51c40,000$20,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,6001464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+29.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over50c37,524$18,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,677.751750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Under49c34,749$17,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,027.193661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under49c29,544$14,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,576.742259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Under50c28,619$14,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,309.433633.3%12 W · 24 L-5.2wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-21.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over51c23,362$11,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,503.592,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Over50c18,888$9,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,44416848.8%82 W · 86 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over50c17,443$8,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,721.2513748.2%66 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x59e1…d3bbbacked Over51c14,661$7,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,118.212100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Over51c12,706$6,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,225.792774.1%20 W · 7 L+5.7wins+0.21per pick53cpaid+40.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over50c11,866$5,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,905.462,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over50c11,243$5,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,567.6985048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x730f…952cbacked Over52c10,852$5,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,209.142100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Under50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002532%8 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Over51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,899.973855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Over51c9,804$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,803.966435.9%23 W · 41 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Over50c8,850$4,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,467.771662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+32.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4958…a146backed Under49c8,794$4,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,309.11250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf058…be52backed Under51c8,724$4,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,44910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under49c8,580$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2006567.7%44 W · 21 L+12.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+41%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under49c8,410$4,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,120.725455.6%30 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+22.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under49c8,163$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00010246.1%47 W · 55 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x76b9…12e4backed Under49c8,066$3,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,952.34425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under50c8,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0004656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under50c8,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0005947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c75…b299backed Over51c7,490$3,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,670.21546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over51c7,000$3,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4301,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over51c6,500$3,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,206.6450644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44fc…7961backed Under49c6,496$3,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,183.05250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e2c…2d2abacked Under49c6,361$3,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,11710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under65c6,300$4,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,107.2238649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c06…8478backed Under49c5,148$2,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,507.1771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+33.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Over50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5002544%11 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4918…8573backed Under49c4,903$2,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,402.2920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x38b0…060cbacked Over51c4,444$2,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,177.562665.4%17 W · 9 L+5.6wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+41.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x09d6…bfd6backed Under48c4,293$2,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,07720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1e6…5266backed Under49c4,192$2,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,054366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd39…234fbacked Under49c4,185$2,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,050.81250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1d1…0139backed Over51c4,037$2,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,978.152100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d8f…2999backed Over51c4,017$2,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,962.79366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd997…53f2backed Under50c4,011$2,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,005.3220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00018362.3%114 W · 69 L+17.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3e6c…8f4ebacked Over51c3,959$2,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,939.82366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a08…f99ebacked Over51c3,928$2,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,919.573100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+142.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9726…892ebacked Over51c3,928$2,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,924.562100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5083…9cbdbacked Over52c3,844$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,844.91450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb96e…b3a2backed Under49c3,750$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,840742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1fa…8c66backed Under48c3,204$1,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5381450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4270…e461backed Over51c2,936$1,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,438.64580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+122.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over54c2,897$1,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,332.738851.1%45 W · 43 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a9a…c308backed Over51c2,596$1,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.012373.9%17 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+19.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x30f4…8c1ebacked Under50c2,395$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,197.691154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+56.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4592…49b6backed Under49c2,385$1,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,168.74333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c26…69c2backed Under49c2,178$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under48c2,086$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.7446943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x197b…a6b0backed Under49c2,059$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,008.6720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6077…ad46backed Under49c2,051$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.87333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdc…2454backed Under50c2,049$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.72520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-67.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5bcf…dff4backed Over51c2,010$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984.92100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under49c2,000$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.9930149.5%149 W · 152 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1375…a070backed Over51c1,997$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978.75250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf617…80c9backed Over51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.78875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+47.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Over51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.7816753.3%89 W · 78 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under50c1,940$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.721,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over51c1,915$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.3528242.2%119 W · 163 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over53c1,885$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.9135428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee9f…b134backed Under50c1,878$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over51c1,722$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.7821253.8%114 W · 98 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Over51c1,617$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.331631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-39.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Under49c1,542$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.586654.5%36 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc29e…a2cabacked Over52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.993339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over50c1,478$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.5252454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Over51c1,368$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.152638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Over46c1,275$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.6510751.4%55 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…6579backed Over52c1,220$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.55250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cac…1695backed Under16c1,200$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1921250%6 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over51c1,190$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.8720758%120 W · 87 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Over47c1,181$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.979733%32 W · 65 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1bf…f357backed Under49c1,140$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over37c1,081$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.0835134.8%122 W · 229 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over51c1,048$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.5230143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e44…686abacked Over52c1,037$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.54580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick42cpaid+81.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under46c999.92$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.9633057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Under48c999.77$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.892962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Over51c990.2$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.22133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd95…3ebfbacked Under16c984.51$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.451428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Over52c974.98$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.999953.5%53 W · 46 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.426344.9%118 W · 145 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over50c893.51$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.761,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Under47c888$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.6915233.6%51 W · 101 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Over51c800$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3929150.5%46 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over51c780$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.22236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.