TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Crystal Palace FCof Tottenham Hotspur FC, Crystal Palace FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$100,008
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$99,739

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,008 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xac47…d234backed Tottenham Hotspur FC19c54,933$10,436 inLost-$10,436.344841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-15.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Tottenham Hotspur FC18c9,535$1,763 inLost-$1,763.492,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6b2…f6e2backed Tottenham Hotspur FC2c6,700$117 inLost-$117.32742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+43.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39a5…c9a1backed Tottenham Hotspur FC20c2,500$500 inLost-$5007229.2%21 W · 51 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Tottenham Hotspur FC20c2,500$500 inLost-$50012532.8%41 W · 84 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+28.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Tottenham Hotspur FC20c2,492$497 inLost-$497.1428242.2%119 W · 163 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Tottenham Hotspur FC18c2,000$360 inLost-$359.9845936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Crystal Palace FC80c1,800$1,440 inWon+$360.151750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Tottenham Hotspur FC18c1,179$206 inLost-$206.49733%32 W · 65 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC19c789.47$150 inLost-$15010244.1%45 W · 57 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+32%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC20c780$156 inLost-$15619426.3%51 W · 143 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35b1…8962backed Tottenham Hotspur FC20c660$132 inLost-$132825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-63.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf715…bbf0backed Tottenham Hotspur FC18c276$50 inLost-$49.6810112.9%13 W · 88 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick20cpaid-46.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f51…7b9ebacked Tottenham Hotspur FC19c251.32$49 inLost-$492050%10 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+40.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x33c8…68d7backed Tottenham Hotspur FC20c250.45$50 inLost-$504022.5%9 W · 31 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-39.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcebe…88c4backed Tottenham Hotspur FC19c242.17$46 inLost-$46.011145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+111.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Tottenham Hotspur FC19c215.79$41 inLost-$416445.3%29 W · 35 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Tottenham Hotspur FC18c200$36 inLost-$3616136.6%59 W · 102 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3999…c2bbbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC19c131.58$25 inLost-$255438.9%21 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x880c…f5e2backed Tottenham Hotspur FC19c130.11$25 inLost-$24.72837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+117.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Tottenham Hotspur FC16c126.01$20 inLost-$20.0551516.1%83 W · 432 L-49.9wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-38.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC17c123.75$21 inLost-$21.0496443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Tottenham Hotspur FC12c121.37$15 inLost-$14.72742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick25cpaid+32.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c7e…5705backed Tottenham Hotspur FC19c113.64$22 inLost-$21.83333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick25cpaid+138.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Tottenham Hotspur FC19c105.26$20 inLost-$2028633.9%97 W · 189 L+19.7wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed Tottenham Hotspur FC19c100$19 inLost-$198836.4%32 W · 56 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9204…7bd5backed Tottenham Hotspur FC18c100$18 inLost-$182828.6%8 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Tottenham Hotspur FC20c79.5$16 inLost-$15.7324340.7%99 W · 144 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5700…a854backed Tottenham Hotspur FC19c78.95$15 inLost-$152035%7 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0742…86a0backed Tottenham Hotspur FC19c71.11$14 inLost-$13.512010%2 W · 18 L-4.2wins-0.21per pick31cpaid-82.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Crystal Palace FC80c59.99$48 inWon+$1220763.8%132 W · 75 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94e5…52bebacked Tottenham Hotspur FC19c56$11 inLost-$10.641643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Tottenham Hotspur FC18c56$10 inLost-$10.0854128.3%153 W · 388 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Tottenham Hotspur FC20c50$10 inLost-$1011229.5%33 W · 79 L-9.8wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-25.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Crystal Palace FC61c23.39$14 inWon+$9.0296645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.