Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64089111d8a8207f4ec3035d0d7b8e259d343b0863ce10348c38b61f6cdf669f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tottenham Hotspur FCof Crystal Palace FC, Tottenham Hotspur FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,260
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,260 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1dc8…da92backed Crystal Palace FC | 41c | 10,285$4,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,228.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 57c | 8,835$5,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,785.49 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…c9a1backed Crystal Palace FC | 5c | 5,052$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 66c | 4,928$3,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.83 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Crystal Palace FC | 4c | 1,250$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.11 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Crystal Palace FC | 52c | 1,215$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.97 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Crystal Palace FC | 5c | 1,095$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Crystal Palace FC | 5c | 1,059$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Crystal Palace FC | 52c | 1,002$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.88 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…bbf0backed Crystal Palace FC | 4c | 518.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 101 | 12.9%13 W · 88 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 200 | 40.5%81 W · 119 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 51c | 457.6$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.3 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 62c | 445.08$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.2 | 162 | 38.3%62 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Crystal Palace FC | 52c | 385.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 377 | 40.3%152 W · 225 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Crystal Palace FC | 5c | 348.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb672…456fbacked Crystal Palace FC | 54c | 336.95$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.32 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…dddfbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 68c | 203.8$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.79 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Crystal Palace FC | 50c | 198.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.57 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Crystal Palace FC | 51c | 196.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 76c | 195.67$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…4f62backed Crystal Palace FC | 6c | 168.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Crystal Palace FC | 47c | 129.7$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.96 | 964 | 45.4%438 W · 526 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Crystal Palace FC | 47c | 127$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.69 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 49c | 99.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Crystal Palace FC | 43c | 97.21$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.05 | 407 | 21.9%89 W · 318 L | -53.3wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Crystal Palace FC | 52c | 96.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 58c | 81.68$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.39 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…3f0abacked Crystal Palace FC | 51c | 81.55$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceab…25dcbacked Crystal Palace FC | 52c | 70.19$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 71c | 45.51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Crystal Palace FC | 32c | 44.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Crystal Palace FC | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa50…27d6backed Tottenham Hotspur FC | 50c | 36.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Crystal Palace FC | 44c | 33.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf226…9c0fbacked Crystal Palace FC | 51c | 26.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf6…9315backed Crystal Palace FC | 52c | 24.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…d9d1backed Crystal Palace FC | 55c | 23.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC | 58c | 19.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 316 | 48.7%154 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-2.5)this page
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)Crystal Palace FC won
- Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)Crystal Palace FC won
- Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-2.5)Crystal Palace FC won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.