TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$70,338

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,338 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under27c13,603$3,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,687.886,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc2fb…b9f0backed Over77c8,642$6,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,987.562466.7%16 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under23c5,345$1,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,231.332,55847.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Over76c3,947$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.33360.6%20 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under25c3,791$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.6446943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Over77c2,597$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.416753.3%89 W · 78 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over76c2,206$1,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.622,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Over60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8003655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cac…1695backed Under19c1,489$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.21250%6 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under23c1,413$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.7152454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01d7…5fd2backed Over76c1,391$1,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.024360.5%26 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fa2…a4f3backed Under23c1,025$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.75850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+60.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under23c999.97$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.9960728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa661…eb28backed Over74c870$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.21040%4 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-34%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over78c857.04$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.554755.3%26 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-4.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x97c7…dddfbacked Under29c793.67$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.912147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1104…39fabacked Under24c717.75$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.261330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick43cpaid+28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc62d…8fd8backed Over66c605.16$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.491643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b86…c943backed Over77c573.79$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.97560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under17c533.09$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.396645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe42d…62febacked Over77c470.13$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.13683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick74cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over68c441.18$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.1817161.4%105 W · 66 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under33c436.57$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.752,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under22c432.09$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0685748.5%416 W · 441 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe91c…5331backed Over77c428.57$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.5710058%58 W · 42 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa735…4afabacked Over77c425.51$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.87333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-56.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe02a…8e83backed Over76c420$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.81855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+55.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x03a1…8f46backed Under24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick34cpaid+109.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under24c416.63$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9932345.2%146 W · 177 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20cb…d211backed Over76c414$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.36988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick72cpaid+27.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcfc1…dea6backed Over76c394.53$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…bce9backed Over71c352.11$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.111764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Over67c342.04$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.879446.8%44 W · 50 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0aa4…ea76backed Over77c300$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691080%8 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick78cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0866…a1d5backed Over76c276.32$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.329156%51 W · 40 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1618265.9%120 W · 62 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over72c256.72$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.838867%59 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x649a…02afbacked Over74c229.81$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.436168.9%42 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick73cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over66c227.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.2728654.2%155 W · 131 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc51a…7ad9backed Over59c214.41$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.113240.6%13 W · 19 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-18.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Under24c214.13$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3912236.1%44 W · 78 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over64c211.59$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.215056%28 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over71c211.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2715966.7%106 W · 53 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b7a…3ce8backed Over77c202.75$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.63875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3999…c2bbbacked Under25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505438.9%21 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465757.9%33 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4623353.6%125 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fdd…3608backed Over77c196.52$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+23.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed Over77c194.81$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.818944.9%40 W · 49 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x50ff…b0e6backed Over77c194.81$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.813560%21 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd607…8f04backed Over77c176.84$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39ea…3d0ebacked Under25c173$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.25425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under24c172.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5272249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under30c162.8$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.571,93842.5%823 W · 1,115 L-41.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a6…eaecbacked Under25c162.4$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.61040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under25c160$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013550.4%68 W · 67 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4986…aacbbacked Over77c156.06$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.061060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Under24c145.83$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354822.9%11 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick25cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…1d41backed Over69c144.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.95977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under28c144.01$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5820758%120 W · 87 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b73…45d9backed Over77c142.86$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.866245.2%28 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd69e…3393backed Over71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.856860.3%41 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over77c140$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.230059.7%179 W · 121 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ca9…37d8backed Over77c138.26$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.82373.9%17 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick67cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under24c120.32$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8837342.6%159 W · 214 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1307…4be7backed Under25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Over76c119.99$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.820763.8%132 W · 75 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over74c115.1$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.110454.8%57 W · 47 L-11.2wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-17.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under36c110.98$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6343241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd64f…29b4backed Under25c110$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under32c109.67$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.674256.9%422 W · 320 L+46.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0190…a3bdbacked Under23c108.69$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid+23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda35…b894backed Over77c108.35$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.926045%27 W · 33 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-14.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xeef0…db6fbacked Under24c105.46$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.171040%4 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6894…59d8backed Over77c105$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.156564.6%42 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over67c102.99$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9920644.7%92 W · 114 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e2f…a3d8backed Under25c100.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.192352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258858%51 W · 37 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2859645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabe5…d99abacked Over60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408839.8%35 W · 53 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over76c98$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5245751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9e9…9ed3backed Over76c95$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Over78c89.58$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.717869.2%54 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23e2…9ecdbacked Over79c87$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.615545.5%25 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Over66c86.36$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3618562.2%115 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69d3…a74dbacked Under24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under30c81$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3720956%117 W · 92 L+15.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+24.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd71…6714backed Over77c77.92$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.922661.5%16 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick72cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over71c76.06$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0611839.8%47 W · 71 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6325750.2%129 W · 128 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over70c72.62$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.919356%108 W · 85 L+21.4wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Under18c71.52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.921020%2 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-45.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31ed…09dabacked Over76c70$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.85451.9%28 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed54…b090backed Over76c67$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.081560%9 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa2…b8e3backed Under31c65.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.431625%4 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-43.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over76c65.55$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.559067.8%61 W · 29 L+0.4wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over60c65$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2655955.1%308 W · 251 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ca0…cb82backed Over77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.945433.3%18 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-3.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under23c64.51$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.841,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84c3…6f21backed Over77c63.39$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.587057.1%40 W · 30 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.