TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6077…ad46

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
45
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Lol, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 60 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Suns vs. Pacers: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,302Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,302.12
Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$5,712Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$6,188
Spread: Hornets (-12.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,163Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,259.5
Raptors vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,033Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+100%+$1,032.5
Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,555Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$2,555.25
Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,191Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$1,190.98
Spread: Cavaliers (-17.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,498Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$3,498
Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$999.54
Knicks vs. Pistons: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,108Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,107.6
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,054Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+117.4%+$3,585.15
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,588Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+92.3%+$1,465.92
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$999Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$999.36
Spread: Pistons (-13.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,083Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$2,083.07
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,042Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+100%+$1,041.54
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+100%+$205.92
All 15 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.6wins+0.26per pick53cpaid+44.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Lol — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,309Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,309.23
Game Handicap: PS (-1.5) vs WLGaming Esports (+1.5)backed Partizan Sangal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,604Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$2,046.19
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 1 Winnerbacked UCAM Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,987Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$2,887.34
LoL: Verdant vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Verdant · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,994Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,993.64
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$973Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+100%+$973.04
Game Handicap: BW (-1.5) vs SU Esports (+1.5)backed SU Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$887Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+112.8%+$1,000.58
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,897Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$1,896.97
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs Dplus KIA (+2.5)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,024Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+85.2%+$872.61
Game Handicap: CKZ (-2.5) vs Priority (+2.5)backed Priority · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,041Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+100%+$2,040.79
LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs P11 Esports (BO5) - LIT Playoffsbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,717Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+26.6%+$987.97
LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs P11 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,207Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$874.02
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+58.7%+$587.56
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$425Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+117.4%+$499.49
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$830Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$829.9
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Granada CF (-1.5)backed Granada CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$232.4
FC Barcelona vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,109Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,201.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flames vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,310
Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,017Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$976.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Play-In Group Cbacked Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$552Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+185.7%+$1,024.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,009Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+78.6%+$1,578.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)backed Gaziantep FK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$973Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$973.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)backed US Cremonese · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$693Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$692.72
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.