Lol · resolved market
LoL: Verdant vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc638901b52fa49c96454e76b6bfa4ed1d2bad321a1c60c8ea35eb29f4bd47ca4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Verdantof Verdant, WLGaming Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,824
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,824 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x17f1…af18backed WLGaming Esports | 3c | 7,765$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.05 | 377 | 5.6%21 W · 356 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…ad46backed Verdant | 50c | 3,987$1,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,993.64 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.26per pick | 53cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5083…9cbdbacked WLGaming Esports | 50c | 3,543$1,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,771.37 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9726…892ebacked WLGaming Esports | 50c | 2,227$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.74 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…3eefbacked Verdant | 47c | 2,173$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.6 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b9…12e4backed Verdant | 50c | 1,783$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.46 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59e1…d3bbbacked WLGaming Esports | 53c | 1,466$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.79 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed WLGaming Esports | 10c | 1,013$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.8 | 125 | 39.2%49 W · 76 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6c…8f4ebacked WLGaming Esports | 53c | 950$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Verdant | 76c | 827.03$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.61 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77a5…56f3backed Verdant | 42c | 725.7$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…c665backed Verdant | 73c | 630.71$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.71 | 331 | 43.8%145 W · 186 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Verdant | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked WLGaming Esports | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Verdant | 51c | 351$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.7 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed WLGaming Esports | 46c | 333.25$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.77 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…a6b0backed Verdant | 47c | 332$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.96 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4888…f20bbacked WLGaming Esports | 58c | 258.2$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba08…21f1backed WLGaming Esports | 58c | 236.27$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1d…32fabacked WLGaming Esports | 58c | 230.39$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked WLGaming Esports | 44c | 225.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked WLGaming Esports | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed WLGaming Esports | 14c | 179.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed WLGaming Esports | 59c | 169.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,218 | 58.1%708 W · 510 L | +44.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked WLGaming Esports | 56c | 167$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.86 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Verdant | 53c | 128$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.56 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33c…4c38backed WLGaming Esports | 15c | 117.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 240 | 65%156 W · 84 L | +24.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked WLGaming Esports | 30c | 106$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked WLGaming Esports | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Verdant | 42c | 86.16$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.97 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked WLGaming Esports | 41c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 214 | 57.5%123 W · 91 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed WLGaming Esports | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,175 | 47.4%557 W · 618 L | +42.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Verdant | 46c | 40.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked WLGaming Esports | 35c | 31.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 249 | 59.8%149 W · 100 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd7…8553backed WLGaming Esports | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 700 | 57.3%401 W · 299 L | +36.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Verdant | 69c | 17.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 744 | 62.2%463 W · 281 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Verdant vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: WLG (-1.5) vs Verdant (+1.5)Verdant won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Verdant vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Champions RoundVerdant won
- LoL: Verdant vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 WinnerVerdant won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.