Lol · resolved market
LoL: Verdant vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbb1a50a035957f718fb25047be6da514d0ec62765354e9c103863d987ed2acc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Verdantof Verdant, WLGaming Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,705
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,705 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf353…b287backed WLGaming Esports | 2c | 4,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 239 | 15.9%38 W · 201 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed WLGaming Esports | 7c | 3,817$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.73 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked WLGaming Esports | 65c | 2,489$1,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,622.37 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Verdant | 37c | 2,275$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.61 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed WLGaming Esports | 1c | 1,597$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Verdant | 35c | 1,198$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.58 | 301 | 39.5%119 W · 182 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Verdant | 34c | 1,112$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.12 | 291 | 43.3%126 W · 165 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f45…ab6abacked WLGaming Esports | 66c | 1,002$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.46 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed WLGaming Esports | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 226 | 17.7%40 W · 186 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…1135backed WLGaming Esports | 12c | 900.28$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.83 | 440 | 42%185 W · 255 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…c665backed WLGaming Esports | 35c | 429.69$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 331 | 43.8%145 W · 186 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed WLGaming Esports | 6c | 333$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Verdant | 73c | 320.02$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.62 | 631 | 61.2%386 W · 245 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed WLGaming Esports | 8c | 301.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 125 | 39.2%49 W · 76 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked WLGaming Esports | 36c | 281.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe625…94c0backed WLGaming Esports | 23c | 260.25$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 743 | 44%327 W · 416 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Verdant | 76c | 153.71$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.18 | 744 | 62.2%463 W · 281 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Verdant | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Verdant | 34c | 145.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.06 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78f4…4a4abacked Verdant | 34c | 141.75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.56 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…fb20backed WLGaming Esports | 38c | 140$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.78 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.33per pick | 46cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked WLGaming Esports | 10c | 122.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa649…af7dbacked WLGaming Esports | 66c | 115.94$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.52 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked WLGaming Esports | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 955 | 51.7%494 W · 461 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…b62dbacked WLGaming Esports | 70c | 95.65$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.96 | 685 | 57.5%394 W · 291 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…69fbbacked WLGaming Esports | 19c | 95.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 155 | 36.8%57 W · 98 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4e…6c11backed WLGaming Esports | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 367 | 49.9%183 W · 184 L | +15.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f4…fa45backed WLGaming Esports | 12c | 88.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc690…ec5bbacked WLGaming Esports | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 414 | 53.4%221 W · 193 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Verdant | 31c | 72.46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed WLGaming Esports | 27c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Verdant | 63c | 66.04$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb968…3930backed Verdant | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Verdant | 46c | 48.72$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 430 | 40.9%176 W · 254 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed WLGaming Esports | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,175 | 47.4%557 W · 618 L | +42.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed WLGaming Esports | 70c | 36.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 160 | 43.1%69 W · 91 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Verdant | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd7…8553backed WLGaming Esports | 60c | 27.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 700 | 57.3%401 W · 299 L | +36.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…af90backed WLGaming Esports | 66c | 26.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 140 | 67.9%95 W · 45 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Verdant | 73c | 22.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Verdant | 74c | 19.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Verdant vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: WLG (-1.5) vs Verdant (+1.5)Verdant won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Verdant vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Champions RoundVerdant won
- LoL: Verdant vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 WinnerVerdant won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.