Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: WLG (-1.5) vs Verdant (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc74ebc11db33b2cb05236bb8ee50ad76e80078321aacd001615f5325e51b9a68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Verdantof WLGaming Esports, Verdant
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,592
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,592 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc0be…75e3backed WLGaming Esports | 25c | 770$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf781…fc38backed Verdant | 75c | 482$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1818…20f6backed WLGaming Esports | 25c | 435$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a91…e3fabacked WLGaming Esports | 25c | 372$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…c0d7backed WLGaming Esports | 25c | 365$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7a…5391backed WLGaming Esports | 25c | 283$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5e…d69dbacked WLGaming Esports | 25c | 268$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c4…adbfbacked Verdant | 75c | 254$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5845…c91fbacked Verdant | 75c | 253$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf446…3f49backed Verdant | 76c | 252$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e0…f206backed WLGaming Esports | 25c | 251$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…67bcbacked Verdant | 76c | 249$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebbe…839bbacked WLGaming Esports | 24c | 248$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe65e…6cfdbacked WLGaming Esports | 25c | 243$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb8…1338backed WLGaming Esports | 25c | 231$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cd…0440backed Verdant | 75c | 229$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f0…b4ccbacked Verdant | 75c | 218$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1eb…872bbacked Verdant | 75c | 218$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a10…fc10backed Verdant | 75c | 216$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbab…c00bbacked Verdant | 75c | 216$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x749f…3d41backed Verdant | 75c | 213$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb47…26d3backed Verdant | 75c | 210$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9978…ad31backed Verdant | 75c | 209$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…4812backed WLGaming Esports | 25c | 203$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54c9…387abacked WLGaming Esports | 25c | 203$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa271…d304backed WLGaming Esports | 24c | 202$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 31cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8112…a99bbacked WLGaming Esports | 25c | 201$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6601…8eb3backed WLGaming Esports | 25c | 194$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6321…7091backed Verdant | 75c | 194$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d03…56aebacked Verdant | 75c | 193$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9872…8b73backed Verdant | 76c | 181$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa309…76babacked WLGaming Esports | 25c | 180$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c02…7523backed Verdant | 76c | 177$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…9178backed Verdant | 75c | 176$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9a…ca6ebacked Verdant | 76c | 176$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…aec6backed WLGaming Esports | 24c | 174$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…46a5backed Verdant | 76c | 173$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe121…d7bcbacked Verdant | 75c | 172$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1914…6bddbacked WLGaming Esports | 25c | 171$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d33…7043backed Verdant | 76c | 164$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda92…a7c6backed Verdant | 75c | 161$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…f162backed Verdant | 75c | 158$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d94…43fdbacked Verdant | 75c | 157$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e6…15b6backed Verdant | 75c | 156$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7816…59d2backed Verdant | 75c | 156$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd405…20f2backed WLGaming Esports | 24c | 154$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe762…22cfbacked Verdant | 75c | 153$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4d…87a0backed Verdant | 75c | 152$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…1ab2backed WLGaming Esports | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe961…7c83backed Verdant | 76c | 148$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c3…5a0fbacked Verdant | 76c | 147$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…b910backed WLGaming Esports | 25c | 144$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9a…4bdabacked Verdant | 75c | 142$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…1ebcbacked Verdant | 76c | 138$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3608…7f93backed WLGaming Esports | 25c | 134$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe31…3901backed Verdant | 75c | 131$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb723…8704backed WLGaming Esports | 24c | 126$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e99…3348backed WLGaming Esports | 25c | 121$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c7…2148backed WLGaming Esports | 24c | 118$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ce…3e30backed WLGaming Esports | 24c | 115$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71e0…0b6ebacked WLGaming Esports | 24c | 110$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x257c…2d34backed WLGaming Esports | 36c | 106$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2481…4ae4backed WLGaming Esports | 24c | 102$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0e…fcccbacked WLGaming Esports | 25c | 99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5789…7fc7backed WLGaming Esports | 24c | 89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x113a…8c83backed WLGaming Esports | 24c | 85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 31cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b5…f783backed WLGaming Esports | 24c | 81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa69…69c9backed Verdant | 66c | 39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69bb…d2c2backed Verdant | 67c | 34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…5f36backed Verdant | 66c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: WLG (-1.5) vs Verdant (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Verdant vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Champions RoundVerdant won
- LoL: Verdant vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 WinnerVerdant won
- LoL: Verdant vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 WinnerVerdant won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.