Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd80e7979042b33e423d68aa3e5f3c2ea39826b8a25cbe36bbcde24201cabdf8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,128
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,128 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32ee…ff7bbacked Over | 44c | 493$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42e…dd36backed Under | 56c | 472$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe753…bdd9backed Over | 43c | 447$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eda…68b3backed Under | 57c | 427$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47fa…44f2backed Over | 44c | 422$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b8…5d83backed Over | 43c | 360$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4d…87a0backed Over | 43c | 358$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9321…9822backed Under | 56c | 349$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e03…9012backed Under | 57c | 336$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8484…e327backed Over | 44c | 313$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f73…7560backed Over | 44c | 309$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c02…7523backed Over | 44c | 304$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7816…59d2backed Over | 44c | 302$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x348e…c889backed Over | 43c | 301$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdb…8368backed Under | 57c | 287$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa855…6825backed Over | 43c | 286$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb9…0bc4backed Under | 57c | 274$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9838…9581backed Under | 56c | 267$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dbf…2c8cbacked Over | 43c | 266$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dbc…37ebbacked Over | 44c | 265$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac7c…1f7abacked Over | 44c | 261$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb10…f669backed Over | 43c | 255$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a08…0587backed Over | 43c | 251$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09c4…a486backed Over | 44c | 247$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d35…6a7bbacked Under | 56c | 238$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb833…4119backed Over | 43c | 233$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8305…6843backed Under | 57c | 232$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2f…c379backed Under | 56c | 231$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x082f…c952backed Under | 57c | 228$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…9178backed Over | 44c | 224$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee8…c741backed Under | 56c | 222$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 40cpaid | +206.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa423…2932backed Under | 57c | 215$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe859…bb2abacked Under | 56c | 214$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c4…adbfbacked Under | 57c | 193$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7099…9b86backed Under | 56c | 191$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62d5…d93abacked Under | 56c | 191$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 40cpaid | +206.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cf…30ecbacked Under | 56c | 190$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…3effbacked Under | 57c | 176$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35fc…0aa4backed Over | 44c | 170$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x298b…44a7backed Under | 57c | 167$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…d2bfbacked Under | 56c | 166$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e0…f206backed Under | 56c | 160$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04fc…b4c5backed Under | 56c | 156$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329b…dab5backed Under | 57c | 154$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcda…f3adbacked Under | 56c | 151$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x388d…aa42backed Over | 43c | 143$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9a…7473backed Under | 57c | 143$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf450…f0f6backed Under | 57c | 142$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb257…2492backed Under | 57c | 142$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…62a0backed Under | 56c | 138$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e38…6379backed Under | 56c | 135$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c6…2de1backed Under | 57c | 134$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…2b39backed Over | 44c | 134$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e3…f451backed Under | 56c | 132$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebbe…839bbacked Under | 56c | 127$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97a8…6530backed Over | 44c | 126$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6547…f8b2backed Under | 57c | 122$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeff9…1fe3backed Over | 43c | 122$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda38…7401backed Under | 57c | 115$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…67bcbacked Over | 44c | 111$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…bfc9backed Over | 44c | 109$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db5…f77cbacked Over | 44c | 106$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfad0…a17dbacked Over | 43c | 96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x941b…2fe8backed Over | 43c | 92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe8…fadebacked Over | 44c | 88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74be…2d4abacked Over | 44c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: WLG (-1.5) vs Verdant (+1.5)Verdant won
- LoL: Verdant vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Champions RoundVerdant won
- LoL: Verdant vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 WinnerVerdant won
- LoL: Verdant vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 WinnerVerdant won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.