TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x92b5…3eef

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Serie A, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: PS (-1.5) vs WLGaming Esports (+1.5)backed Partizan Sangal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,764Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+70.1%+$1,938.03
LoL: Verdant vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Verdant · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,021Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,151.6
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$5,222Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+117.4%+$6,129.8
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,036Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$1,035.78
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$999.75
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,024Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$1,023.98
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)backed GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$1,008.29
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,010Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$4,010.18
Game Handicap: GNG (-1.5) vs 3BL Esports (+1.5)backed 3BL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$934Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+40.8%+$381.32
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$823Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+104.1%+$856.76
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$699Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$699.46
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$851Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$851
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$376Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$153.64
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,860Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+56.3%+$1,608.84
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,230Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+132.6%+$1,630.2
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,557Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+132.6%+$2,064.54
LoL: DN Freecs vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$860Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$860.25
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$999Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+108.3%+$1,082.64
All 18 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wizards vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,376Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+68.2%+$938.55
Suns vs. Pacers: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,382Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,382
Spread: Pistons (-15.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$753Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$849.03
Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,872Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,871.54
Spread: Heat (-8.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,899Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,899.08
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,868Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,867.57
Spread: Heat (-11.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,651Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$2,651.46
Rockets vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,995Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+108.3%+$3,244.28
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,669Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,669.46
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,338Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+92.3%+$4,003.96
Spread: Hornets (-2.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,082Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+108.3%+$2,255.65
Spread: Bucks (-6.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,069Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$1,069.47
Spread: Magic (-6.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$1,122.35
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Zhizhen Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,305Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,304.81
Linette vs. Gracheva: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,705Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$2,599.36
Kigali 2: Marco Trungelliti vs Marco Cecchinatobacked Marco Cecchinato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,040
Fils vs. Auger-Aliassime: Match O/U 23.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,420Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,259.1
Set 1 Winner: Majchrzak vs Perricardbacked Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,011Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+85.2%+$860.91
Set 1 Winner: Borges vs Wongbacked Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,009Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$1,009.12
Bouzkova vs. Mertens: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000.32
Rotterdam Open: Alex de Minaur vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,729Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+92.3%+$1,596.09
Muchova vs. Kalinskaya: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$968Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+108.3%+$1,048.84
Eala vs. Valentova: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,821Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$1,820.51
Raducanu vs. Oliynykova: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,348Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$2,348.27
Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Svitolina (+1.5)backed Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,248Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+75.4%+$2,450
All 12 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+50.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flames vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,434Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,271.56
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$962Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$962.36
KHL: Traktor vs. Ak Bars Kazanbacked Traktor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$930Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+108.6%+$1,010.62
KHL: Sibir Novosibirsk vs. Neftekhimik Nizhnekamskbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,060Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+104.2%+$1,104.14
All 4 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick43cpaid+135.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Como 1907 vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$233.02
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)backed AC Milan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,298Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+127.3%+$2,924.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed Sevilla FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$549.6
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000.37
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)backed Middlesbrough FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,082Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,082
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$151.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,032Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+122.4%+$1,264.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
OGC Nice vs. AS Monaco FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,951Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+108.3%+$2,113.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: George Washington Revolutionaries (-2.5)backed George Washington Revolutionaries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+100%+$342.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
First Round Pool A: Cuba vs. Canadabacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$162.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,676Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+66.7%+$1,784
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kasımpaşa SK vs. Eyüpspor: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,951Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,950.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SK Slavia Praha vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,004Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$1,003.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,138Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,138.13
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.