Ligue 1 · resolved market
OGC Nice vs. AS Monaco FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb8571c0221939a348a94aaec50fd407d6c6032fc6a1d96a68982693319e5f0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,290
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,819
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,290 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Yes | 65c | 14,565$9,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,493.77 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 37c | 7,298$2,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,603.61 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 35c | 5,219$1,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,403.32 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…3eefbacked No | 48c | 4,064$1,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,113.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e1…d3bbbacked Yes | 52c | 2,138$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x730f…952cbacked Yes | 52c | 1,926$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 66c | 759.83$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Yes | 65c | 486.06$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.94 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 34c | 400$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 34c | 354.76$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.73 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 34c | 337.35$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.57 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 35c | 323.8$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.47 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88ea…f0d2backed Yes | 19c | 260$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 35c | 167$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.55 | 170 | 43.5%74 W · 96 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 35c | 161.9$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.24 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Yes | 66c | 145.45$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed No | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.99 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -10.8wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -37%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 35c | 91.7$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.61 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Yes | 65c | 85.09$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.31 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked No | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…10bebacked Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 66c | 72$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.23 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 34c | 62.79$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.35 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a9…05ddbacked No | 41c | 56.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.41 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +98.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed No | 36c | 55.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.77 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 64c | 48.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…50aabacked No | 37c | 42.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae9…facabacked Yes | 66c | 40.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x248f…3c98backed No | 75c | 38.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -5.9wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1b91…27dcbacked Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 66c | 21.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a39…bf2abacked Yes | 66c | 18.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- OGC Nice vs. AS Monaco FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- OGC Nice vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- OGC Nice vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- OGC Nice vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- OGC Nice vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)OGC Nice won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.