NBA · resolved market
Spread: Magic (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cbcbff16813dab8af6bb6ebf5d0d465d616282c5cec30f27069e197c274d2fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof Magic, Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,457
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,904
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,457 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Hornets | 52c | 28,636$14,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,769.7 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Magic | 49c | 23,023$11,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,278.84 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 47c | 12,869$6,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,027.06 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Hornets | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Magic | 47c | 9,481$4,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,477.2 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Hornets | 55c | 8,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Hornets | 49c | 6,545$3,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,342.28 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…e842backed Magic | 47c | 6,468$3,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,029.48 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Hornets | 52c | 5,799$3,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,774.69 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Hornets | 53c | 5,295$2,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,486.03 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e2…2c81backed Hornets | 50c | 4,219$2,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,109.53 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Magic | 49c | 3,260$1,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,604.95 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…3b33backed Magic | 45c | 2,359$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Magic | 41c | 2,315$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.02 | 153 | 36.6%56 W · 97 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…3eefbacked Magic | 50c | 2,245$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.35 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…6448backed Magic | 50c | 1,975$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x902e…5f41backed Magic | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Magic | 49c | 1,000$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Magic | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -14.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Magic | 49c | 900$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f4…5bc0backed Hornets | 52c | 883.29$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.98 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Magic | 47c | 882.21$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.69 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Hornets | 57c | 739.4$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.94 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | +12.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Magic | 47c | 736.88$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.33 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Magic | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Magic | 51c | 597.37$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.6 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Hornets | 53c | 571.63$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.61 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Hornets | 48c | 505$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.6 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 44c | 447.25$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.15 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Magic | 48c | 433.36$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.68 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Magic | 48c | 414.59$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | -15.2wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Magic | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Hornets | 52c | 387.09$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.09 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Hornets | 50c | 346$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.84 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Magic | 49c | 324.68$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.09 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Magic | 50c | 316.42$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.89 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…180abacked Magic | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f49…7458backed Hornets | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Magic | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Magic | 45c | 197.53$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Hornets | 50c | 195.92$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.96 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Hornets | 60c | 183.33$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Magic | 48c | 175$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1c…9b07backed Magic | 46c | 160$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Magic | 47c | 156.23$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.43 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Magic | 46c | 134.78$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x406e…0d29backed Magic | 50c | 118$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3947…a5a9backed Magic | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Hornets | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eca…6882backed Magic | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Magic | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 400 | 35.5%142 W · 258 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b05…b227backed Hornets | 52c | 96.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.19 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Hornets | 48c | 92$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.84 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Magic | 44c | 90.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed Hornets | 49c | 67.63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.38 | 153 | 48.4%74 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Hornets | 52c | 65.38$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.38 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Hornets | 76c | 63.14$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Hornets | 49c | 60.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.61 | 311 | 55%171 W · 140 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Hornets | 51c | 56.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Hornets | 57c | 52.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ff…a806backed Magic | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 160 | 30.6%49 W · 111 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc57a…fe9fbacked Magic | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 132 | 50%66 W · 66 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…9e0bbacked Hornets | 56c | 48.23$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Magic | 47c | 46.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f7…2633backed Hornets | 48c | 46.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.93 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0f…956fbacked Hornets | 52c | 40.41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Hornets | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…64a3backed Magic | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -10.0wins | -0.27per pick | 51cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1343…19a2backed Magic | 47c | 39.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8677…4d2cbacked Hornets | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Hornets | 53c | 37.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5470…f84ebacked Hornets | 51c | 36.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Magic | 48c | 35.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 307 | 43%132 W · 175 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Magic | 38c | 34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Magic | 46c | 32.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Magic | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95be…9968backed Hornets | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Magic | 48c | 29.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2132…47f5backed Magic | 49c | 28.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Magic | 49c | 28.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe97…89e1backed Hornets | 57c | 27.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Hornets | 51c | 27.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 599 | 48.4%290 W · 309 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Magic | 50c | 27.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc97…1425backed Magic | 49c | 26.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -8.5wins | -0.26per pick | 50cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b8…6f30backed Hornets | 50c | 25.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc99…7dc1backed Hornets | 56c | 25.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd50…c3bcbacked Magic | 50c | 24.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Magic | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cf…058dbacked Hornets | 54c | 21.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Magic | 50c | 21.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b79…a497backed Hornets | 54c | 20.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Hornets | 65c | 18.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Magic (-6.5)this page
- Anthony Black: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Franz Wagner: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Franz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Hornets vs. MagicHornets won
- Hornets vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Hornets vs. Magic: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 224.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 225.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 227.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 228.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 229.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 230.5Under won
- Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 11.5No won
- LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Spread: Magic (-3.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Magic (-4.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Magic (-5.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Magic (-7.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.