NBA · resolved market
Spread: Magic (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b9df15769fd09fd6fd7b1e17df743668d8f7ab4dc4914ed230a5894157d8f53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof Magic, Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $172,765
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $178,648
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,765 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf2db…aa08backed Magic | 49c | 30,000$14,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,571.87 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Magic | 49c | 30,000$14,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,699.97 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Magic | 50c | 29,061$14,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,470.5 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Hornets | 50c | 23,362$11,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,565.46 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Hornets | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,800 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Hornets | 51c | 15,300$7,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,497 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Hornets | 51c | 11,443$5,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,607.07 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Magic | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Hornets | 51c | 9,486$4,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,648.03 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Hornets | 53c | 8,331$4,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,954.11 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Magic | 49c | 7,495$3,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,672.55 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe686…13cbbacked Hornets | 50c | 7,049$3,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,524.4 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Hornets | 58c | 6,616$3,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,809.82 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Magic | 47c | 6,526$3,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,067 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Hornets | 50c | 6,046$3,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,031.2 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Hornets | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 47c | 5,831$2,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,711.8 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Hornets | 52c | 5,410$2,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,596.95 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Magic | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.99 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Hornets | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Hornets | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.98 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Hornets | 51c | 3,477$1,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.87 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Hornets | 44c | 3,418$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,914.08 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Magic | 49c | 3,020$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.4 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Magic | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…3b33backed Magic | 49c | 2,853$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Hornets | 54c | 2,011$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.74 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa51…a910backed Magic | 49c | 1,997$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.67 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd56d…bd7dbacked Hornets | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Magic | 52c | 1,618$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.36 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Magic | 49c | 1,531$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Hornets | 54c | 1,216$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.35 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +8.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Magic | 47c | 1,058$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.69 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb48f…d015backed Magic | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 43c | 911.68$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.78 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Hornets | 51c | 705.88$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.88 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed Hornets | 51c | 640.82$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.63 | 153 | 48.4%74 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Magic | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Magic | 52c | 600$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Hornets | 43c | 504$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.28 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Magic | 49c | 495.92$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…8a1dbacked Magic | 48c | 417.84$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Magic | 55c | 364.75$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Magic | 44c | 337.66$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.03 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Hornets | 49c | 311.88$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.06 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda12…38d6backed Hornets | 54c | 302.38$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.09 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3277…be5fbacked Hornets | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…735cbacked Hornets | 54c | 241.89$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.27 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Hornets | 51c | 233.61$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.48 | 311 | 55%171 W · 140 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Magic | 44c | 204.55$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 334 | 42.8%143 W · 191 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…70c7backed Hornets | 51c | 180.62$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.9 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Hornets | 57c | 179.87$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.44 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Magic | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Hornets | 54c | 163.49$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.95 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Magic | 47c | 129.64$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.39 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3502…7057backed Magic | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 182 | 56.6%103 W · 79 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…8cb2backed Hornets | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Magic | 48c | 103.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 473 | 49%232 W · 241 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Magic | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Hornets | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Magic | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b58…7061backed Hornets | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba4c…9dc3backed Hornets | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Magic | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Hornets | 58c | 86.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.28 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Hornets | 54c | 85.57$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…340fbacked Hornets | 54c | 84.35$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6299…dd7dbacked Hornets | 54c | 82.87$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.12 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…1950backed Hornets | 54c | 81.63$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.55 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Hornets | 54c | 78$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Hornets | 60c | 75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Magic | 43c | 75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 400 | 35.5%142 W · 258 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8155…eb2cbacked Hornets | 54c | 70.2$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.29 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d1…6d49backed Magic | 53c | 70$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Hornets | 47c | 70$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Hornets | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 324 | 50%162 W · 162 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Hornets | 54c | 64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…fd97backed Hornets | 54c | 63.3$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.13 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecef…558abacked Hornets | 53c | 62.2$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0f9bbacked Hornets | 54c | 60.44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9466…1f15backed Magic | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Hornets | 54c | 55.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…ada4backed Magic | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985e…6894backed Hornets | 51c | 55.26$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed Magic | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Magic | 44c | 50.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Hornets | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Magic | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 226 | 46.9%106 W · 120 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Hornets | 45c | 41.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdd…8dbbbacked Magic | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9c…6b57backed Magic | 44c | 40.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Magic | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 408 | 53.7%219 W · 189 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Hornets | 53c | 35.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ea…52dbbacked Hornets | 55c | 35.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed95…889cbacked Hornets | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 197 | 50.3%99 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Hornets | 47c | 34.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…cb4ebacked Magic | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Magic | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Hornets | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44d8…111ebacked Hornets | 54c | 26.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Magic (-5.5)this page
- Anthony Black: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Franz Wagner: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Franz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Hornets vs. MagicHornets won
- Hornets vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Hornets vs. Magic: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 224.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 225.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 227.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 228.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 229.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 230.5Under won
- Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 11.5No won
- LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Spread: Magic (-3.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Magic (-4.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Magic (-6.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Magic (-7.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.