NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3be903771bb002d498a1f4d44fca12d45cb1071a3cceaf2eabc19305524d0fd5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof Hornets, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,323,260
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,471,007
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,323,260 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Magic | 63c | 200,000$126,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126,500 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Hornets | 36c | 200,000$72,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127,999.93 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Magic | 60c | 107,927$65,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,203.29 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Hornets | 39c | 99,170$38,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,493.62 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Hornets | 35c | 91,662$32,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,580.07 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Magic | 64c | 78,347$49,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,998.26 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe686…13cbbacked Hornets | 35c | 70,000$24,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,499.98 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Magic | 63c | 70,000$43,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,799.92 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Hornets | 32c | 68,533$22,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,390.14 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ae…3020backed Hornets | 39c | 60,000$23,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,723.22 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Hornets | 40c | 54,076$21,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,445.58 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Magic | 63c | 47,464$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d4…1970backed Magic | 68c | 43,230$29,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,567.51 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Magic | 64c | 40,000$25,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,599.8 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe194…cd47backed Magic | 25c | 39,446$9,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,974.61 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Magic | 64c | 38,970$25,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,115 | 146 | 63.7%93 W · 53 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Magic | 65c | 38,462$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…a250backed Magic | 60c | 35,000$21,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,000 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c2a3backed Hornets | 37c | 35,000$12,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,042.63 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Hornets | 33c | 34,784$11,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,469.16 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Hornets | 33c | 32,168$10,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,445.93 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Magic | 61c | 32,041$19,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,411.02 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Magic | 66c | 31,973$21,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,247.9 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…35aebacked Hornets | 38c | 28,000$10,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,399.98 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 63c | 27,090$17,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,201.47 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Magic | 67c | 26,842$18,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,013.73 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Hornets | 33c | 26,401$8,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,573.07 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Hornets | 39c | 25,940$10,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,854.21 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Magic | 67c | 25,731$17,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,140.25 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Magic | 62c | 25,099$15,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,598.02 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Hornets | 34c | 22,901$7,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,052.75 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Magic | 65c | 21,862$14,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,133.17 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Magic | 63c | 20,516$12,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,866.33 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Hornets | 38c | 20,484$7,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,700.35 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…53a9backed Hornets | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,800 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…8aacbacked Hornets | 40c | 19,999$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,999.4 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed Magic | 63c | 18,942$12,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,020.17 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Hornets | 54c | 16,774$9,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,702.48 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Hornets | 39c | 15,287$5,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,327.19 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Hornets | 46c | 13,840$6,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,461.99 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03a9…37babacked Hornets | 37c | 13,290$4,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,372.42 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Hornets | 40c | 12,500$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,499.97 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Hornets | 40c | 12,500$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,499.97 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Magic | 1c | 12,000$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Magic | 61c | 12,000$7,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,349.97 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Magic | 0c | 11,979$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Magic | 28c | 11,232$3,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,133.59 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Magic | 50c | 10,800$5,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,366.46 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Magic | 60c | 10,733$6,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,438.86 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Magic | 64c | 10,482$6,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,707.85 | 309 | 47.6%147 W · 162 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Hornets | 34c | 10,115$3,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,711.51 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Magic | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 250 | 16.8%42 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Hornets | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,400 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Magic | 64c | 10,000$6,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,360 | 352 | 51.1%180 W · 172 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Hornets | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,999.97 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…4d30backed Hornets | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,299.9 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb915…8da5backed Hornets | 33c | 9,666$3,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,476.53 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Magic | 66c | 9,348$6,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,125.33 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Hornets | 54c | 9,301$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,301.45 | 160 | 42.5%68 W · 92 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Hornets | 49c | 9,100$4,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,647.66 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Magic | 0c | 9,036$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Hornets | 41c | 8,971$3,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,292.73 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcad4…c108backed Magic | 69c | 8,762$6,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,078.04 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Magic | 64c | 8,357$5,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,348.48 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Magic | 27c | 8,135$2,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,187.53 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Hornets | 31c | 8,022$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,523.35 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x063a…8382backed Magic | 68c | 7,994$5,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,465.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab44…d88ebacked Hornets | 38c | 7,895$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,894.74 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb48f…d015backed Magic | 63c | 7,219$4,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,548 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 20c | 7,164$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.28 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5031…1ffbbacked Magic | 65c | 7,102$4,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,603.71 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35bd…1ecfbacked Hornets | 31c | 7,001$2,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,825.47 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1a…5abfbacked Magic | 63c | 7,000$4,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,410 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8b…77d4backed Magic | 68c | 7,000$4,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,759.9 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb3…dcecbacked Hornets | 32c | 7,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,759.88 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Hornets | 68c | 6,872$4,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,231.05 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Hornets | 40c | 6,821$2,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,092.38 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Hornets | 31c | 6,767$2,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,669.21 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hornets | 75c | 6,752$5,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,683.83 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Hornets | 79c | 6,324$5,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.48 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Magic | 64c | 6,298$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000.38 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Magic | 33c | 6,205$2,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,033.34 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Hornets | 30c | 6,199$1,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,334.8 | 399 | 58.4%233 W · 166 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Magic | 65c | 6,000$3,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,880 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | -10.6wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf8…71e9backed Hornets | 32c | 5,600$1,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,807.94 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Magic | 65c | 5,468$3,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,563.46 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…b6e9backed Magic | 62c | 5,300$3,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,285.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Hornets | 38c | 5,263$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,263.16 | 354 | 38.1%135 W · 219 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Magic | 6c | 5,119$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.55 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5798…ab44backed Hornets | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Hornets | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Magic | 1c | 5,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bba…10a7backed Hornets | 38c | 4,920$1,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,074.54 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Magic | 33c | 4,841$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578.41 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6d…4ad5backed Hornets | 40c | 4,632$1,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,778.94 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…26a0backed Magic | 63c | 4,600$2,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,898 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Hornets | 64c | 4,565$2,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645.77 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Hornets | 40c | 4,527$1,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,716.42 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Magic | 60c | 4,478$2,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,686.84 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Hornets | 39c | 4,443$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,732.16 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hornets vs. Magicthis page
- Anthony Black: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Franz Wagner: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Franz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Hornets vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Hornets vs. Magic: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 224.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 225.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 227.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 228.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 229.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 230.5Under won
- Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 11.5No won
- LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Spread: Magic (-3.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Magic (-4.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Magic (-5.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Magic (-6.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Magic (-7.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.