NBA · resolved market
Spread: Magic (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xddf8603f612772ed7d24579100ce8269018e575ccfc8dfd31f23ea2743329f59
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof Magic, Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,545
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,408
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,545 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Magic | 45c | 14,880$6,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,646.09 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Hornets | 52c | 14,478$7,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,906.1 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Hornets | 58c | 9,758$5,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,101.8 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Hornets | 55c | 5,186$2,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,329.02 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Hornets | 55c | 5,100$2,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,295.17 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 43c | 3,895$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,667.1 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f38…f88ebacked Hornets | 55c | 3,310$1,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Magic | 45c | 3,239$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.55 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4990…d6a1backed Hornets | 55c | 3,071$1,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,381.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Hornets | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.36 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Hornets | 55c | 1,510$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.5 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd19f…7edbbacked Hornets | 56c | 1,447$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Magic | 46c | 1,378$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.2 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac5…88c8backed Magic | 45c | 1,286$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Magic | 40c | 1,238$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c34…68d4backed Magic | 46c | 1,235$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9174…cd59backed Magic | 45c | 1,212$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3773…602ebacked Magic | 45c | 1,168$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11c8…411bbacked Magic | 45c | 1,127$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c64…9b55backed Magic | 45c | 1,044$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 37c | 1,011$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.83 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Hornets | 53c | 1,006$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.71 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Magic | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac55…98e9backed Hornets | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Magic | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -14.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Hornets | 57c | 977.91$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.5 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x919a…ab8fbacked Magic | 45c | 900$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Magic | 44c | 900$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3666…d3efbacked Magic | 45c | 897$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x458f…5e6abacked Magic | 45c | 880$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9d…ed78backed Magic | 45c | 866$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…5226backed Magic | 45c | 866$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x478b…3d87backed Magic | 45c | 859$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a45…befcbacked Hornets | 54c | 799$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Hornets | 56c | 764.18$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.18 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…eaf0backed Magic | 45c | 700$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b306backed Hornets | 55c | 620$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb61e…ff85backed Magic | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6f…e887backed Magic | 43c | 600$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Magic | 45c | 539.53$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.79 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f9…8cd9backed Magic | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36ac…720dbacked Hornets | 55c | 480$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Magic | 25c | 373.98$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.18 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5631…3c41backed Hornets | 55c | 364$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c8…55cabacked Hornets | 55c | 355$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a54…da06backed Hornets | 55c | 350$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03a7…d817backed Hornets | 55c | 332$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Hornets | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…180abacked Magic | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53c1…b458backed Hornets | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…9ba0backed Magic | 46c | 290$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97db…ef66backed Hornets | 55c | 281$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb556…2f0bbacked Hornets | 55c | 269$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…3812backed Magic | 46c | 269$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1c…9a6bbacked Hornets | 55c | 266$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ed…d9b2backed Hornets | 55c | 266$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a75…4c8ebacked Hornets | 55c | 258$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e23…5a7fbacked Hornets | 55c | 250$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Hornets | 59c | 249.89$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.89 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc1…5de5backed Hornets | 55c | 245$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa789…ebe1backed Magic | 46c | 240$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfad2…ad72backed Hornets | 55c | 234$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x833e…46cbbacked Hornets | 55c | 222$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb405…c706backed Hornets | 55c | 221.21$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.54 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12c6…ed9bbacked Hornets | 55c | 220$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5525…902cbacked Magic | 39c | 219.72$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc0…099dbacked Hornets | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3397…f5abbacked Hornets | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Magic | 44c | 199.98$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.99 | 293 | 46.4%136 W · 157 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Magic | 42c | 178.26$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.04 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e88…7c99backed Hornets | 57c | 176.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.27 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Hornets | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Hornets | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe952…bde4backed Magic | 38c | 161.29$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.29 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Hornets | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Magic | 45c | 124.1$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.36 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Hornets | 64c | 120.46$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.54 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Hornets | 52c | 110$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.6 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6c…fe22backed Hornets | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Magic | 41c | 96.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ad…8b71backed Hornets | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Hornets | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Hornets | 52c | 67.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.57 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x985b…ce2cbacked Magic | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked Hornets | 56c | 61.73$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 243 | 63.8%155 W · 88 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…bbfebacked Hornets | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f10…ef9abacked Magic | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -10.1wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -30%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Magic | 46c | 50.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Hornets | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Magic | 45c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 421 | 46.1%194 W · 227 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed Hornets | 55c | 49.86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 153 | 48.4%74 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Magic | 41c | 49.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Magic | 44c | 47.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Magic | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…64a3backed Magic | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -10.0wins | -0.27per pick | 51cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Hornets | 64c | 39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Magic | 47c | 35.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Hornets | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Magic | 44c | 30.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Magic | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Magic (-7.5)this page
- Anthony Black: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Franz Wagner: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Franz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Hornets vs. MagicHornets won
- Hornets vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Hornets vs. Magic: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 224.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 225.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 227.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 228.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 229.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 230.5Under won
- Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 11.5No won
- LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Spread: Magic (-3.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Magic (-4.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Magic (-5.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Magic (-6.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.