NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b68778a2a43a53a239cb51cf43c9f8a0a5c94740e7336ae4e6a5000237934a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,730
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,730 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44d4…1970backed Under | 53c | 16,952$8,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,028.68 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Over | 44c | 6,767$2,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,975.12 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 47c | 5,831$2,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,740.27 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 4,113$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.38 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 44c | 600$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe8…32dfbacked Over | 51c | 475.59$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.5 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 426.11$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.01 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 398$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.46 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb364…f1e3backed Under | 53c | 388.25$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.48 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +8.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb405…c706backed Under | 51c | 357.84$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.34 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 8c | 333.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 47c | 291.27$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.87 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc832…ed2bbacked Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x457f…cf1dbacked Under | 53c | 197.19$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.17 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60df…7092backed Under | 53c | 191.2$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.37 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 41c | 174.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.75 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Over | 48c | 172.59$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.84 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5995…3385backed Under | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.94 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88b2…7917backed Under | 53c | 149.84$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.04 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…6a69backed Under | 53c | 135.04$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.47 | 201 | 49.8%100 W · 101 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Over | 48c | 117$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 47c | 110.25$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.11 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…749fbacked Under | 53c | 110.22$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e57…2bf6backed Over | 48c | 109.4$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.51 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Under | 55c | 107.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7808…3046backed Under | 53c | 95.22$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.51 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f4…5bc0backed Under | 53c | 93.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.96 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb944…250fbacked Under | 53c | 82.77$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.69 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…d270backed Under | 53c | 79.05$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.95 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf464…0607backed Under | 53c | 77.83$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.38 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf4…f5e5backed Under | 53c | 76.68$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e91…3e2abacked Over | 48c | 58.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x862d…bc9bbacked Under | 53c | 57.38$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.82 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cf…058dbacked Over | 48c | 55.52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Over | 47c | 55.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe52f…db16backed Under | 53c | 54.92$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcde1…1e0cbacked Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -5.5wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 46c | 49.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Under | 57c | 43.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71fe…461ebacked Over | 49c | 34.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaeba…d2d8backed Under | 53c | 31.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…e5d1backed Over | 48c | 31.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Under | 52c | 31.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…b497backed Over | 43c | 30.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 48c | 29.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Over | 48c | 23.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 251 | 43%108 W · 143 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6896…c672backed Under | 53c | 22.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3951…c5b2backed Under | 53c | 20.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 227.5this page
- Anthony Black: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Franz Wagner: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Franz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Hornets vs. MagicHornets won
- Hornets vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Hornets vs. Magic: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 224.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 225.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 228.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 229.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 230.5Under won
- Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 11.5No won
- LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Spread: Magic (-3.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Magic (-4.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Magic (-5.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Magic (-6.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Magic (-7.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.