TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7808…3046

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
184
Categories scored
29
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Boxing, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Boxing at 58 out of 100; worst Earnings at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST6055%33 W · 27 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15.84
Spread: Clippers (-4.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$11.01
Mavericks vs. Pacers: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$38.37
Mavericks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.07
Spread: Lakers (-6.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+104.1%+$12.4
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10.59
Bucks vs. Magic: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Hawks vs. Hornets: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+92.3%+$19.1
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$31.07
Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 22.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$26.71
76ers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+75.4%+$57.27
76ers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$17.59
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+92.3%+$102.47
Jazz vs. Heatbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+257.1%+$35.46
Knicks vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+85.2%+$12.76
Nuggets vs. Pistons: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$117.13
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$136.96
Jazz vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$92.92
Nuggets vs. Pistonsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$108.65
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$225.19
Rockets vs. Pacersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+41.9%+$59.43
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+117.4%+$247.11
Bulls vs. Heat: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+132.6%+$37.24
Spurs vs. Hornets: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$17.98
Bucks vs. Wizards: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$170.38
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-28.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flames vs. Kingsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.57
Canadiens vs. Jetsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+112.8%+$16.14
Capitals vs. Krakenbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12.41
Sharks vs. Canucksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+83.6%+$201.92
Jets vs. Devilsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+113.1%+$119.86
Predators vs. Bruinsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$17.25
Kings vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$294.11
Islanders vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$291.13
Ducks vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$47
Rangers vs. Ducksbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$118.06
Stars vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+104.4%+$156.89
Penguins vs. Maple Leafsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$37.33
Oilers vs. Wildbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$46.17
Canucks vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$35.93
Spread: Flames (-1.5)backed Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$22.96
Oilers vs. Bruinsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+79.9%+$31.57
Blackhawks vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+117.8%+$67.09
All 17 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Florida Atlantic Owls vs. North Texas Mean Greenbacked North Texas Mean Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+75.4%+$8.11
VCU Rams vs. Saint Louis Billikensbacked VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$23.89
Monmouth Hawks vs. UNCW Seahawksbacked UNCW Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+29.9%+$5.37
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$14.09
Central Michigan Chippewas vs. Eastern Michigan Eaglesbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+49.3%+$6.98
South Alabama Jaguars vs. Marshall Thundering Herdbacked Marshall Thundering Herd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+58.7%+$6.34
Wofford Terriers vs. UNCG Spartansbacked Wofford Terriers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$19.2
Samford Bulldogs vs. East Tennessee State Buccaneersbacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$12.94
Columbia Lions vs. Penn Quakersbacked Penn Quakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+63.9%+$6.48
Iona Gaels vs. Canisius Golden Griffinsbacked Iona Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+44.9%+$24.48
Marist Red Foxes vs. Merrimack College Warriorsbacked Merrimack College Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+53.8%+$24.33
UIC Flames vs. Drake Bulldogsbacked Drake Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$34.91
Arizona Wildcats vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$55.77
Texas Southern Tigers vs. Bethune-Cookman Wildcatsbacked Bethune-Cookman Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+73.9%+$9.85
NJIT Highlanders vs. Albany Great Danes: O/U 140.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$12.25
Wofford Terriers vs. Chattanooga Mocs: O/U 151.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$31.74
Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks vs. New Hampshire Wildcatsbacked New Hampshire Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+66.7%+$9.23
All 17 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$14.44
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$101.59
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$16.28
Sunderland AFC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+127.3%+$20.92
Sunderland AFC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+38.9%+$6.39
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+40.8%+$16.37
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$47.88
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$13.46
Newcastle United FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+44.9%+$23.41
All 9 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-31.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+29.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.36per pick48cpaid+55.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Boxing — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Earnings — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+44.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-52.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$12.7
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+58.7%+$15.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-37%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$19.85
Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+26%+$7.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne City FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+85.2%+$92.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+72.4%+$12.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Texas A&Mbacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+68.9%+$68.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+37%+$15.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+31.2%+$8.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,214Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+26.6%+$322.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$11.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$17.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.