Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
NJIT Highlanders vs. Albany Great Danes: O/U 140.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae7c66e78e3f4ae72ed39f98cf3a2f21d3204af70ef7ddf4be020cc3fb656ec2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,798
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,904
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,798 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Over | 47c | 4,051$1,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,147.06 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 53c | 4,029$2,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,131.16 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 53c | 2,051$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.19 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Over | 48c | 976.19$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.62 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 52c | 799.98$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.99 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 48c | 641.96$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.82 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 631.35$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.55 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Over | 47c | 621.28$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.28 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Under | 52c | 480$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 47c | 337.74$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…c431backed Over | 48c | 243.75$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over | 48c | 175$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Over | 48c | 152.08$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.08 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4794…d6e5backed Over | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…b0f8backed Over | 49c | 122.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.65 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 54c | 59.85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Under | 53c | 54.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 226 | 56.2%127 W · 99 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55aa…4f8ebacked Under | 53c | 48.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fec…871cbacked Under | 53c | 45.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb944…250fbacked Under | 53c | 42.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Under | 53c | 36.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 54c | 32.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 46c | 23.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7808…3046backed Under | 53c | 23.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60df…7092backed Under | 53c | 20.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- NJIT Highlanders vs. Albany Great Danes: O/U 140.5this page
- NJIT Highlanders vs. Albany Great DanesNJIT Highlanders won
- NJIT Highlanders vs. Albany Great Danes: O/U 138.5Over won
- Spread: Albany Great Danes (-4.5)NJIT Highlanders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.