Boxing · resolved market
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua Reach Round 6?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa86205b7bcf54a7a0c05598dc3c0a902093e5d4c628aa841c8074ab445ab2151
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,445
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,978
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,445 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c11…9b33backed No | 12c | 1,285$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9b…0029backed No | 59c | 1,198$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.61 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Yes | 41c | 941.88$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e61…19bdbacked No | 58c | 493.6$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.29 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…7935backed Yes | 42c | 169.05$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7808…3046backed Yes | 42c | 161.31$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.56 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.36per pick | 48cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6d…c733backed Yes | 41c | 150$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Yes | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.86 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd8…e1fbbacked Yes | 41c | 103.32$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.96 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +98%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27ea…b38bbacked Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…3689backed No | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua Reach Round 6?this page
- Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua Go the Distance?No won
- Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua Reach Round 2?Yes won
- Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua Reach Round 3?Yes won
- Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua Reach Round 4?Yes won
- Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua Reach Round 5?Yes won
- Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua Reach Round 7?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.