Boxing · resolved market
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua Reach Round 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc03b84a5ed837609906a2bfa3d60551a847ff5f1a7057916e0346c9578cba6a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,635
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,224
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,635 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked No | 15c | 2,677$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.51 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +182.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed No | 10c | 2,231$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.06 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked No | 20c | 2,034$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.85 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5520…32ffbacked No | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 2cpaid | +525%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e61…19bdbacked No | 19c | 1,147$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.1 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 14c | 1,041$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed No | 17c | 999.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x416a…aa18backed No | 20c | 900$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x665b…73babacked Yes | 78c | 550.7$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f24…60f9backed No | 25c | 501.62$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes | 80c | 500.25$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.05 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7808…3046backed Yes | 80c | 432.29$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.46 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.36per pick | 48cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Yes | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed No | 10c | 305.05$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c94…1f7dbacked Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a33…0f11backed Yes | 78c | 173.53$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…398dbacked Yes | 72c | 171.76$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 13c | 166$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfb…e887backed Yes | 80c | 145$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2063…d38fbacked Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +128.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4291…b6bdbacked Yes | 77c | 125.29$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9b…0029backed No | 11c | 112.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked No | 14c | 107.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…b131backed Yes | 79c | 101.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fce…2566backed No | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f90…163cbacked No | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee82…f011backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Yes | 77c | 99.64$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd1…c5f5backed No | 22c | 89.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19cb…a867backed No | 27c | 74.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x419e…360abacked No | 30c | 65.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 77c | 60.36$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…19b0backed Yes | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua Reach Round 2?this page
- Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua Go the Distance?No won
- Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua Reach Round 3?Yes won
- Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua Reach Round 4?Yes won
- Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua Reach Round 5?Yes won
- Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua Reach Round 6?Yes won
- Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua Reach Round 7?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.