TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2063…d38f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Boxing, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Boxing at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT3850%19 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paulbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.49
Roland Garros WTA: Peyton Stearns vs Belinda Bencicbacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$17.87
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Kosice: Andrej Martin vs Martin Krumichbacked Martin Krumich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Roland Garros WTA: Solana Sierra vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
Roland Garros ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Roland Garros WTA: Xiyu Wang vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked Yulia Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Viktorija Golubicbacked Viktorija Golubic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Roland Garros ATP: Raphael Collignon vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Roland Garros WTA: Maria Sakkari vs Claire Liubacked Maria Sakkari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.45
Roland Garros ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Vit Koprivabacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Roland Garros WTA: Ann Li vs Diane Parrybacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$106.25
Roland Garros ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances Tiafoebacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouamebacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$128.57
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Elise Mertensbacked Elise Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs McCartney Kesslerbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.46
Roland Garros ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Jaime Fariabacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Yibing Wubacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.54
Roland Garros WTA: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Kimberly Birrellbacked Oleksandra Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.88
Roland Garros WTA: Iva Jovic vs Emma Navarrobacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$26.6
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmicbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Roland Garros WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Solana Sierrabacked Jasmine Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Roland Garros WTA: Eva Lys vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Eva Lys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$299.83
Spread: Patriots (-12.5)backed Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$200.9
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Ravens vs. Packers: O/U 43.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Texans vs. Chargers: O/U 39.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Broncos vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$61
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+233.3%+$233.33
Steelers vs. Lionsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+90.8%+$267.05
Raiders vs. Texansbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Buccaneers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+206.1%+$206.06
Chargers vs. Cowboysbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+127.3%+$126
Bengals vs. Dolphinsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+100%+$221
Chargers vs. Cowboys: O/U 50.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$82
All 14 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+128.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$304.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$388.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.