TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Cruz Azul end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$96,914
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$100,618

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,914 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed No63c38,518$24,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,216.542,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes38c22,666$8,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,617.738,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes37c5,261$1,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9671,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No31c4,179$1,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,883.985,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a0c…3f90backed Yes76c3,477$2,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,653.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Yes68c3,104$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10023542.1%99 W · 136 L-13.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No55c3,004$1,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,345.7237540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No70c2,915$2,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883.8221640.3%87 W · 129 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes39c2,723$1,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,054.2519952.8%105 W · 94 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d74…f2abbacked Yes77c2,581$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No47c2,336$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,247.2836339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Yes40c1,936$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.1125866.3%171 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes35c1,621$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.5975240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes28c999.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28020046%92 W · 108 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed No35c896.38$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.099763.9%62 W · 35 L+13.3wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+47.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes32c737.52$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.921,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No72c504.33$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.6141145.5%187 W · 224 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb026…9c7bbacked Yes51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2553234.4%11 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4c9…8803backed Yes70c494.52$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No72c417.6$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.8725044%110 W · 140 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Yes74c362.57$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2701353.8%7 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick70cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x461e…5ce2backed Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2063…d38fbacked Yes29c330$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.7830%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yes27c317.91$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.8463657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes34c309$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.431,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f70…ce77backed Yes20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x845a…37acbacked Yes20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6080%0 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x57f7…ae57backed Yes20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601040%4 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick17cpaid+125%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcff0…fa1abacked Yes20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6050%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No72c286$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.0826745.3%121 W · 146 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ee…56fdbacked Yes74c277.4$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.521172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick70cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Yes41c234.79$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.593641.7%15 W · 21 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-29.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes26c234$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8421349.8%106 W · 107 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No50c227.8$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.951,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked No32c226.57$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.9510249%50 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe868…7c4fbacked Yes27c211.85$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.25944.1%26 W · 33 L+6.3wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+36.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed No48c206.37$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.37250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3831…d788backed Yes28c198.28$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.521540%6 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked No51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0811657.8%67 W · 49 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1788…aa80backed Yes68c195.33$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe678…9dcdbacked Yes54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-33.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf16…b3eabacked Yes27c185$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.95616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69cc…2e44backed Yes55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes41c179.94$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.3557157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e4…d1f7backed Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed No59c176.99$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9214824.3%36 W · 112 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-36%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2843…0ac5backed Yes29c174.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507034.3%24 W · 46 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0171…0a60backed Yes29c169.66$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+40.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No73c165$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8894848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Yes57c164$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7e4…15eebacked Yes20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Yes25c147.83$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.965651.8%29 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0b6…e356backed Yes28c146.68$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.071172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked No73c132.85$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.878756.3%49 W · 38 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x75b0…63c6backed Yes76c131.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes27c120$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.426749.4%132 W · 135 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Yes43c116.69$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5711664.7%75 W · 41 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1edb…a60bbacked Yes27c115.74$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.255448.1%26 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No76c108.41$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0229047.6%138 W · 152 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7da4…f0a4backed Yes25c106$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.066315.9%10 W · 53 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8286…701fbacked Yes59c101.69$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-37.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534731.9%15 W · 32 L-7.1wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-39.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518140.3%73 W · 108 L+0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4490…fe8bbacked Yes65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Yes67c99.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.991758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick69cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed No30c88.98$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.297763.6%49 W · 28 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked No30c88.98$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.2912958.1%75 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa56d…3053backed Yes54c85.19$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes27c81.12$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2870055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No29c80.49$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.8342946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1a9c…535ebacked Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.82544%11 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-30.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd3a…ccbebacked Yes49c79.41$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.15366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72fc…b1fbbacked Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201844.4%8 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202821.4%6 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe42b…6bb6backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b03…13eebacked Yes35c68.9$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244643.5%20 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6709…37bfbacked Yes44c66.68$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+25.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Yes56c65.61$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7820958.4%122 W · 87 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc1…1efbbacked Yes46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8328…e5ebbacked Yes28c60.87$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.044037.5%15 W · 25 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-45.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9292…3724backed Yes50c59.37$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5920%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ea2…3265backed Yes50c57.3$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.58450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+25.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Yes28c57.14$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162343.5%10 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+32.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b4a…64b6backed Yes27c55.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b81…88e7backed No29c54.21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.673661.1%22 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0975…bd23backed Yes28c53.93$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+41.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No53c53.68$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.167548%324 W · 351 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Yes28c53.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153429.4%10 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed No74c51$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.264247.6%20 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe04b…37a8backed Yes53c50.94$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+150%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x178a…88fcbacked Yes42c50.37$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.96475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+24.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2923…68eebacked Yes53c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.25425%1 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick70cpaid-68.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Yes47c47.26$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0233365.5%218 W · 115 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes27c40.42$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.911,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed No76c40.39$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.696352.4%33 W · 30 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6719…1e71backed Yes29c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick28cpaid-68.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ef9…11b4backed Yes76c39.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304182.9%34 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick73cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x156e…cf6fbacked Yes68c35.29$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244045%18 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No76c35.2$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.421,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes40c35.01$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.051,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.